Prediction for match Internacional — Bahia

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Brazilian Serie A on March 15, Internacional will face Bahia. According to the 1X2 odds, Internacional is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.99, a draw at 3.58, and a Bahia victory at 3.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 48.25% for an Internacional win, 26.82% for a draw, and 24.94% for Bahia. The markets also offer options on total goals, both teams to score, and individual performance, but there's no clear bias towards high scoring. A detailed look at both teams' statistics suggests a tightly contested match, with no clear favorite in terms of goal-scoring ability.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at how the teams have performed in recent matches. Internacional has averaged 0.6 goals per game over five matches, with 58.2% ball possession. They have 2 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 3 offsides per match. Bahia averages 1 goal scored and 0.8 conceded, with 55.6% ball possession. Bahia receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and records 2.6 offsides per game. Recent matches for Internacional: 11.03.2026 Atletico Mineiro - Internacional 1-0, 25.02.2026 Remo - Internacional 1-1, 13.02.2026 Internacional - Palmeiras 1-3. Bahia's recent games: 11.03.2026 Bahia - Vitoria 1-1, 25.02.2026 Bahia - O'Higgins 5-5, 18.02.2026 O'Higgins - Bahia 1-0. Their head-to-head on 08.11.2025 ended in a 2-2 draw.

Goals by Match Statistics

Both teams tend to play low-scoring games. In the last five matches, only 1 of Internacional's games went over 2.5 goals, and similarly, only 1 of Bahia's did. The average number of goals in Internacional's matches is 2, while Bahia's is 1.8. Internacional scores 0.6 goals per game, Bahia 1. In the first half, both teams went over 1.5 goals twice in 5 matches, while in the second half, Internacional did it once and Bahia didn't exceed 1.5 goals at all. Goal intervals show Internacional often scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Bahia scores in the 0-15 (43%) and 31-45 (43%) intervals. Internacional concedes most in the 0-15 minutes (33%), Bahia in the 16-30 (50%). Considering both teams' low scoring, frequent under 2.5 totals, and modest scoring averages, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems reasonable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Internacional stands out with a high average of 11.8 corners per game, while Bahia averages 5.4. In the last five matches, 4 out of 5 Internacional games went over 9.5 corners, and 3 out of 5 for Bahia. Among available totals, the closest to the average sum (17.2) is over 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.83. Internacional is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.65. Based on the statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering Internacional's consistent activity in this metric and Bahia's decent figures.