Prediction for match Internacional — Chapecoense

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A, Internacional faces Chapecoense in a match scheduled for March 22, 2026. According to the main 1X2 odds, Internacional stands out as the favorite: a win for them is priced at 1.52, a draw at 4.32, and a victory for Chapecoense at 6.48. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 63.04% for an Internacional win, 22.18% for a draw, and 14.79% for a Chapecoense win. This setup highlights Internacional's status as the favorite and reflects the current difference in potential between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary statistics, Internacional has shown 55.4% possession in the last five matches, averages 2 yellow cards, commits 15.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.8 times per game. In the same period, Chapecoense has 38.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times. In their last three matches, Internacional played as follows: March 19, 2026, Santos 1-2 Internacional; March 15, 2026, Internacional 0-1 Bahia; March 11, 2026, Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Internacional. Chapecoense's last three matches were: March 20, 2026, Chapecoense 0-0 Corinthians; March 16, 2026, Chapecoense 1-1 Gremio; March 12, 2026, Sao Paulo 2-0 Chapecoense. Notably, in a head-to-head match on October 10, 2021, Internacional defeated Chapecoense 5-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Neither team shows a strong over-profile in terms of scoring. Internacional averages 2.2 goals per match over their last five games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Chapecoense is slightly higher with 2.4 average goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Internacional and only 1 out of 5 for Chapecoense. More than 1.5 goals in the first half were recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Internacional had 2 out of 5 and Chapecoense 3 out of 5. Internacional most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Chapecoense scores most between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%). Internacional concedes evenly across the intervals of 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Chapecoense tends to concede more at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 40%) and the start of the second (46-60 minutes - 40%). Considering Internacional's low scoring and the not-so-high frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems justified. A high-scoring match is not expected, as both teams struggle in attack, and Internacional's defense is solid against a team with a low average scoring rate.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Internacional averages 11.4 corners per game over the last five matches, while Chapecoense averages 4.4. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches. In terms of odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.68, and under 9.5 at 2.05. Internacional is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.29. In this matchup, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the high averages for both teams and frequent occurrences of this total in recent matches.