Prediction for match Iraq — United Arab Emirates, 18.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Asian World Cup qualifiers, Iraq will face the United Arab Emirates on November 18, 2025. Bookmakers favor Iraq with odds of 2.10 for a win, while a draw is priced at 2.90, and a UAE victory at 3.50. The probability distribution is as follows: Iraq win - 43.03%, draw - 31.16%, UAE win - 25.82%. This indicates a slight advantage for Iraq, but a draw is also seen as a likely result.

Team Statistics and Scores

Looking at additional statistics, Iraq has an average possession of 43% over their last five matches, with 1.4 yellow cards, 7.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. The UAE, on the other hand, has a higher possession rate at 55.8%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Iraq played as follows: November 13 - UAE 1-1 Iraq, October 14 - Saudi Arabia 0-0 Iraq, October 11 - Iraq 1-0 Indonesia. The UAE's last three matches were: November 13 - UAE 1-1 Iraq, October 14 - Qatar 2-1 UAE, October 11 - UAE 2-1 Oman. The most recent head-to-head match on November 13, 2025, ended 1-1, with a total under 2.5 goals.

Goals by Match Statistics

Both teams have shown modest scoring records over the last five matches. Iraq averages 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.6 on average. The UAE is more productive, with an average of 2 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Regarding totals, Iraq has not had a match exceed 2.5 goals (0 out of 5), while the UAE has had two such matches. In the first half, a total over 1.5 occurred only once for both teams in the last five matches, while in the second half, Iraq had it once, and the UAE twice. Analyzing goal intervals, Iraq most frequently scored between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each), while conceding mainly at the end (76th-90th, 50%). The UAE also scored predominantly at the end (76th-90th, 50%) and conceded early (0-15, 50%). This pattern and Iraq's low scoring, along with the UAE's moderate scoring and conceding, suggest a cautious match with a total under 2.5 goals as a sensible choice.

Corner Betting

Iraq averages 2.8 corners over their last five matches, while the UAE averages 4.2. The frequency of matches with more than 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for both teams. The line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at odds of 2.30, under 9.5 at 1.55. The UAE is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 2.00. Considering Iraq's low average corners and the UAE's moderate performance in this area, betting on under 9.5 corners seems logical.