Prediction for match Israel — Moldova

Match Analysis: Israel vs Moldova

In the European World Cup Qualifiers, Israel will face Moldova on November 16, 2025. The odds for the outcomes are: Israel win at 1.44, draw at 4.50, Moldova win at 7.00. Probability distribution for a win: Israel - 65.54%, draw - 20.97%, Moldova - 13.48%. Israel is the clear favorite according to both odds and percentages, supported by head-to-head statistics and recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Israel averages 49% possession, 1 yellow card, 11 fouls, and 1.25 offsides per game. Moldova averages 26.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Israel's last three matches: 13.11.2025 Lithuania - Israel 0-0, 14.10.2025 Italy - Israel 3-0, 11.10.2025 Norway - Israel 5-0. Moldova played: 13.11.2025 Moldova - Italy 0-2, 14.10.2025 Estonia - Moldova 1-1, 09.10.2025 Romania - Moldova 2-1. In the head-to-head on 05.09.2025, Moldova - Israel ended 0-4, with over 2.5 goals occurring. Previously, on 12.10.2021 Israel - Moldova 2-1 and 31.03.2021 Moldova - Israel 1-4, both matches also saw over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Israel's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, while Moldova had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded three times for both teams, and in the second half, Israel had 4 out of 5, Moldova 3 out of 5. Israel averages 2.0 goals scored and 3.25 conceded, Moldova 0.6 scored and 4.0 conceded per game. Average total goals per match: Israel - 5.25, Moldova - 4.6. Israel most frequently scores between the 16-30 minutes (31%), Moldova in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Israel concedes most often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), Moldova in 76-90 (33%). These figures highlight the high-scoring nature of matches involving both teams, especially considering the frequent occurrence of over 2.5 goals and average goal statistics. It's reasonable to expect the teams to continue this trend, and a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 appears justified.

Corner Statistics

Israel averages 3.25 corners over five matches, Moldova 1.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Israel - 0 out of 5, Moldova - 1 out of 5. The line offers total corners: over 8.5 at 1.73, under 8.5 at 2.00. For the outcome of winning on corners: Israel is the favorite at 1.36. Given the low averages for corners and rare occurrences of over 9.5, betting on under 8.5 corners seems more logical in this matchup.