Prediction for match Istra 1961 — HNK Gorica

Match Analysis: Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica

On February 21, in Croatia, Istra 1961 will face HNK Gorica in the HNL. The odds for Istra 1961 to win are 2.11, a draw is at 3.26, and a victory for HNK Gorica is priced at 3.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Istra 1961 - 44.17%, draw - 28.59%, HNK Gorica - 27.25%. Based on these figures, Istra 1961 has the highest chance of success, although the gap between the teams is not overwhelming. The most interesting odds for totals: over 2.5 goals is at 2.12, under 2.5 goals is at 1.68. Both teams to score is evenly priced at 1.85 for both options.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Istra 1961 played as follows: 14.02.2026 - Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 - 4-0, 07.02.2026 - Vukovar vs Istra 1961 - 3-2, 30.01.2026 - Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb - 1-1. HNK Gorica's last three matches were: 15.02.2026 - HNK Gorica vs Vukovar - 0-0, 06.02.2026 - Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica - 3-0, 31.01.2026 - HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split - 1-0. In their head-to-head match on 23.11.2025, HNK Gorica defeated Istra 1961 with a score of 1-0. Over a five-match period, Istra 1961 averages 50.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. HNK Gorica shows 46.2% possession, 1.6 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Istra 1961 has shown a clear tendency towards high-scoring games: over 2.5 goals occurred 4 out of 5 times, with an average of 3.4 goals per game. They score 1.2 and concede 2.2 on average. HNK Gorica, on the other hand, has low-scoring stats: over 2.5 goals occurred only 2 out of 5 times, with an average total of 1.6, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Istra 1961 had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times, and in the second half 2 times. HNK Gorica had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, and only once in the second half. In terms of time intervals, Istra 1961 most often scores and concedes in the first 15 minutes (36% and 29% respectively), while HNK Gorica scores most frequently between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often from 61 to 75 minutes (50%). Given Istra 1961's high scoring ability and HNK Gorica's not-so-reliable defense, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.56 seems justified: Istra 1961 consistently hits overs, and HNK Gorica is prone to conceding.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Istra 1961 averages 4 corners over five matches, while HNK Gorica averages 5.2. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times for both teams. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is priced at 2.20, under 9.5 at 1.58. For corners outcome, Istra 1961 is the favorite with odds of 1.91. In this situation, it makes sense to consider betting on total corners over 9.5, given the frequent occurrence of this number in recent matches of both teams, as well as their stable corner delivery stats.