Prediction for match Italy — Israel

Who is the favorite in the Italy vs Israel match?

The match between Italy and Israel will take place on October 14, 2025, as part of the World Cup - Qualification Europe. Italy is considered the clear favorite with an 80.18% chance of winning and odds of 1.18. Bookmakers offer odds of 7.00 for a draw, with a 13.52% probability. Israel's chances of winning are minimal at 6.31% with odds of 15.00. Therefore, expectations for a successful outcome for the visitors are very low, and the main interest lies in Italy's performance.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Italy averages 3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, with an average total of 4.6 goals per match. Israel, in the same series, has 2.75 goals scored and conceded, with an overall total of 5.5. For corners: Italy averages 6.6, Israel 3.75. Recently, Italy defeated Estonia 3-1 (10/11/2025) and Moldova 2-0 (06/09/2025), and had a high-scoring match with Israel - 5-4 (09/08/2025). Israel, besides losing to Norway 0-5 (10/11/2025), secured a big win over Moldova 4-0 (09/05/2025). In head-to-head encounters, the teams consistently play high-scoring games: 5-4, 4-1, 2-1, 1-0, 3-1 - all of the last five matches ended with Italy's victory.

How many goals will be scored in the Italy vs Israel match?

In the last five-match span, both teams regularly play over 2.5 total goals: both Italy and Israel have seen this bet win 4 out of 5 times. The average number of goals is also high - 4.6 for Italy and 5.5 for Israel. In the first half, over 1.5 total goals occurred 3 times for Italy and 4 times for Israel, in the second half - 3 and 4 times respectively. The most frequent goal interval for Italy is 76-90 minutes (33%), for Israel - 16-30 minutes (33%). Goals conceded by Italy are more frequent in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals (22% each), for Israel - in the 46-60 and 76-90 (33% each). This highlights the high scoring potential of both teams, especially in the second half.

Corners in the match

Italy consistently delivers 6.6 corners per match over the last five matches, Israel 3.75. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Italy 2 out of 5 times, Israel 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, for under - 1.67. Italy is expected to win on corners with odds of 1.12. This statistic is supported by the overall trend in corners in recent matches.