Prediction for match Italy — Norway

Match Analysis: Italy vs Norway

In the World Cup European Qualifiers match between Italy and Norway, scheduled for November 16, 2025, bookmakers see Italy as a moderate favorite: Italy's win is at 2.10, Norway's success is at 3.25, and a draw is priced at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Italy win 44.85%, draw 26.16%, Norway win 28.98%. This encounter promises to be high-scoring, considering the attacking potential of both teams and the statistics from recent meetings. In their previous head-to-head on June 6, 2025, Norway defeated Italy 3-0, with over 2.5 goals recorded.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Italy has shown a high ball possession rate (63.6%), averages 1.2 yellow cards, and commits 10.8 fouls per game, with 1 offside. Norway maintains possession at 63.2%, receives only 0.4 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and averages 1.6 offsides. Italy's last three matches: a 2-0 win over Moldova on November 13, a confident 3-0 victory over Israel on October 14, and a 3-1 win against Estonia on October 11. Norway defeated Estonia 4-1 on November 13, drew 1-1 with New Zealand on October 14, and thrashed Israel 5-0 on October 11. In their head-to-head in June, Norway won 3-0 against Italy, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have shown high scoring potential: Italy has an average of 4.6 goals per match, while Norway's is even higher at 5.0. Italy scores an average of 3.6 goals and concedes 1 per game, Norway scores 4.4 and concedes 0.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 matches for Italy and 3 out of 5 for Norway. By halves, Italy recorded over 1.5 goals in the second half 5 out of 5 times, and Norway 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals out of 5. By intervals: Italy most frequently scores and concedes between 76-90 minutes (46% and 36% respectively), while Norway most often scores between 61-75 minutes (22%) and concedes in the same interval (67%). This distribution by halves and intervals confirms the trend for high-scoring endings. Both teams have strong attacks and consistent goal-scoring form, suggesting a bet on over 2.5 goals is favorable. The odds for this outcome are 1.70.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Italy averages 8.2 per match, and Norway 6.4. In the last five matches, Italy exceeded 9.5 corners twice, while Norway did not. The line for this match has over 9.5 corners at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. Italy is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.73. Given these stats, a bet on Italy's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 9 seems reasonable, considering the high attacking activity and wing play from both teams.