Prediction for match Jagiellonia — Rayo Vallecano, 11.12.2025

Match Analysis: Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano

On December 11, in the UEFA Conference League, Jagiellonia will face Rayo Vallecano. The odds for Rayo Vallecano to win are 2.17, for Jagiellonia's success - 3.47, and a draw is priced at 3.54. The probabilities are estimated as follows: Jagiellonia - 27.94%, draw - 27.39%, Rayo Vallecano - 44.68%. Based on these percentages, Rayo Vallecano has the advantage in terms of winning chances, but the difference between the teams does not seem overwhelming. Bets on total goals over 2.5 are accepted at odds of 1.86, under 2.5 - at 2.03. Both teams to score: yes - 1.64, no - 2.13. Individual total for Jagiellonia over 1 - 1.74, for Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 - 2.07. All main lines for totals and outcomes are presented with working odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Jagiellonia has shown 63.8% ball possession, averages 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Rayo Vallecano, over the same period, shows 55.4% possession, 3.6 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In the last three encounters, Jagiellonia played as follows: December 7 - Nieciecza 2-1 Jagiellonia, November 30 - Zagłębie Lubin 0-0 Jagiellonia, November 27 - Jagiellonia 1-0 KuPS. Rayo Vallecano in their last three matches: December 7 - Espanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano, December 1 - Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia, November 27 - Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Rayo Vallecano. These results show that both teams rarely achieve victories, and matches often end with a minimal advantage for one side.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average number of goals in Jagiellonia's matches over five games is 1.8, and for Rayo Vallecano - 1.2. Jagiellonia scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 0.8, while Rayo Vallecano scores 0.4 and also concedes 0.8. Jagiellonia had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Rayo Vallecano had 1 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded for Jagiellonia 2 times, for Rayo Vallecano - not once. In the second half, more than 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams. In terms of goal intervals, Jagiellonia most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (40%) and 46-60 minutes (40%), while Rayo Vallecano scores from 31 to 45 and 46 to 60 minutes (50% each). Jagiellonia most often concedes at the end (76-90, 50%), Rayo Vallecano - from 61 to 75 minutes (67%). Overall, both teams have shown low scoring in recent matches, and the figures for over 2.5 goals and goals scored are particularly modest for Rayo Vallecano. At the same time, neither team's defense seems vulnerable: they both concede 0.8 per game. Against this background, the bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.03 seems justified, considering the low average scoring, rare passes of over 2.5 goals, and the lack of a pronounced over-profile by halves.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Jagiellonia and Rayo Vallecano average 5.6 corners per match over a five-game stretch. For over 9.5 corners: Jagiellonia had 3 out of 5, Rayo Vallecano - 4 out of 5. Among the totals for corners closest to the sum of average values (11.2) is the 11.5 line, which has both outcomes: over 11.5 is at 3.07, under 11.5 - at 1.33. Also notable is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 - 1.86, under 9.5 - 1.88. In the outcome for corners, Rayo Vallecano is favored with odds of 1.78. Based on current figures, both teams consistently deliver corners, and the option for over 9.5 looks logical, given the passes in 3 and 4 cases out of 5. Meanwhile, the 11.5 line is closer to the upper limit and would require very active play on the wings, which is not always confirmed by the results.