Prediction for match Junior Barranquilla — Cerro Porteno

Match Analysis: Junior Barranquilla vs Cerro Porteño

In the Copa Libertadores on May 8, Junior Barranquilla will face Cerro Porteño. The odds for a Junior Barranquilla win are 2.08, for a draw 3.28, and for a Cerro Porteño victory 3.91. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 46.17% for Junior Barranquilla, 29.28% for a draw, and 24.56% for Cerro Porteño. Based on these figures, Junior Barranquilla is considered the favorite, but there is no clear dominance, and Cerro Porteño has a chance to get a result. The odds on totals are also notable: over 2.0 goals is priced at 1.65, under 2.5 goals at 1.65, both teams to score: yes at 1.94, no at 1.77.

Team Statistics and Scores

Looking at additional metrics over a five-match series, Junior Barranquilla has an average possession of 40%, while Cerro Porteño has 50%. Junior Barranquilla averages 1.2 yellow cards per game, 10.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Cerro Porteño averages 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Recent matches for Junior Barranquilla include: May 3, 2026 - Junior Barranquilla vs Deportivo Pasto 4-3, April 29, 2026 - Sporting Cristal vs Junior Barranquilla 2-0, April 24, 2026 - Cucuta vs Junior Barranquilla 1-1. For Cerro Porteño: May 3, 2026 - Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño 2-1, April 30, 2026 - Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras 1-1, April 24, 2026 - Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano 1-1. In their last head-to-head on April 14, 2026, Cerro Porteño defeated Junior Barranquilla 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of goal scoring, Junior Barranquilla has an average total of 2.8 goals in the last five matches, scoring and conceding 1.4 per game. Cerro Porteño has lower figures: an average of 1.6 goals, with 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Over the five-match span, over 2.5 goals occurred only once for both teams, while under 2.5 goals happened four times. By halves, Junior Barranquilla saw over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves, while Cerro Porteño only once in the first half and never in the second. Junior Barranquilla frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (30% each), while Cerro Porteño scores most in the first 15 minutes and between the 46th-60th minutes (40% each). In terms of goals conceded, Junior Barranquilla's distribution is even: 25% in four different intervals, while Cerro Porteño concedes 33% between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 46th-60th minutes. Considering Cerro Porteño's low scoring and frequent under 2.5 totals for both teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

For corners, Junior Barranquilla earns an average of 3 per match, while Cerro Porteño averages 5.2. Over a five-match span, over 9.5 corners occurred twice for both teams, and under 9.5 occurred three times. The closest line to the average total (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.64, under 8.5 at 2.13. Junior Barranquilla is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.62. It is reasonable to expect the number of corners to be in the 8-9 range, considering both teams' stats and playing styles. An individual bet on Cerro Porteño's corners over 4.5 can also be considered, as they consistently deliver more than 5 per match.