Prediction for match Juve Stabia — Bari

Match Analysis: Juve Stabia vs Bari

On December 4th, a Serie B match between Juve Stabia and Bari will take place. In the 1X2 odds, Juve Stabia is the favorite with odds of 1.95, a draw is priced at 3.18, and a Bari win is at 4.18. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Juve Stabia - 48.08%, draw - 29.49%, Bari - 22.43%. This distribution indicates an advantage for Juve Stabia, but a draw cannot be ruled out. The tournament situation is not discussed, with the focus solely on the upcoming match and the teams' recent statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Juve Stabia recorded the following results: November 30 - Juve Stabia vs Monza 2-2, November 24 - Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia 1-0, November 8 - Juve Stabia vs Palermo 1-0. Bari's results were: November 29 - Empoli vs Bari 5-0, November 22 - Bari vs Frosinone 2-3, November 7 - Spezia vs Bari 1-1. In their head-to-head on February 9, 2025, Juve Stabia defeated Bari 3-1. Over a five-match series, Juve Stabia averages 54% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Bari averages 45.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These figures show that Juve Stabia controls the ball more often but commits more fouls and offsides. Bari plays more cautiously but is less aggressive in attack.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Juve Stabia has played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Bari has gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. In terms of first-half goals, both teams have seen over 1.5 goals twice out of five, while in the second half, Juve Stabia has gone over 1.5 goals three times, and Bari only once. The average number of goals in Juve Stabia's matches is 2.6, while Bari's is 2.8. Both teams average 1 goal per game, but Juve Stabia concedes 1.6, and Bari 1.8. Juve Stabia most frequently scores between the 31st-45th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (22% each), while Bari scores most often in the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Juve Stabia concedes most often between the 61st-75th minute (50%), and Bari in the first 15 minutes (50%). Considering the average scoring of both teams and the timing trends, a bet on over 1.75 goals at 1.52 seems logical. A highly prolific match is not expected, but two goals are quite likely, and more could occur with an active second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over a five-match period, Juve Stabia averages 4.6 corners per game, and Bari 5.4. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners twice out of five. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average total (10) is 9.5. The odds for corners total over 9.5 are unavailable, as are those for under 9.5. Bari slightly earns more corners, but the difference is negligible. Based on this data, a bet on corner totals closer to 9-10 seems justified, with no clear tilt towards either team. A large number of set-pieces is not expected, but a low count is also unlikely.