Prediction for match Juve Stabia — Spezia

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B, Juve Stabia faces Spezia on March 21, 2026. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Juve Stabia's win is at 2.26, while both the draw and Spezia's win are at 3.20. According to these odds, Juve Stabia has a 41.45% chance of winning, with the draw and Spezia both at 29.27%. This suggests Juve Stabia is a slight favorite, but the gap isn't substantial. For both teams to score, 'Yes' is at 1.92 and 'No' at 1.79, indicating a tendency towards a potentially high-scoring match. The over 2.5 goals market is at 2.27, while under 2.5 is at 1.61, reflecting a balance between attack and defense in recent games of these teams.

Team Performance and Stats

Over the last five matches, Juve Stabia averages 50% possession, with 3.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Spezia boasts higher possession at 55.4%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Juve Stabia's last three matches were: March 17, 2026, Palermo 2-2 Juve Stabia, March 14, 2026, Juve Stabia 1-1 Carrarese, March 8, 2026, Mantova 2-0 Juve Stabia. Spezia's recent games were: March 17, 2026, Spezia 1-1 Empoli, March 13, 2026, Modena 3-0 Spezia, March 7, 2026, Spezia 4-2 Monza. Their last head-to-head was on September 20, 2025: Spezia 1-3 Juve Stabia.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Juve Stabia only once had over 2.5 goals, with four under. Spezia, in contrast, had three over 2.5 and two under. Juve Stabia averages 2 goals per match, while Spezia averages 3.2. Juve Stabia scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2, while Spezia scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, Juve Stabia went over 1.5 goals once, while Spezia did so twice. In the second half, Juve Stabia went over 1.5 goals twice, and Spezia four out of five times. Juve Stabia most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), while Spezia does so between the 46th and 60th minutes (30%). Juve Stabia is most vulnerable at the end of matches (76th-90th minutes, 50%), while Spezia has two peaks: 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Overall, Spezia appears more prolific, but Juve Stabia's low scoring average and only one instance of over 2.5 goals in five games make a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.61 a logical choice, considering Juve Stabia's under-profile and Spezia's high scoring offset by their opponent's shaky defense.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Juve Stabia averages 4 per match, and Spezia 5, totaling 9. In their last five matches, Juve Stabia surpassed 9.5 corners twice, while Spezia did so once. The corner total closest to their average is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.85. Juve Stabia's win in corners is at 1.69. In this situation, a bet on a corner total around 9-10 and Juve Stabia's advantage in corners, considering their consistency in this aspect, looks reasonable.