Prediction for match Juventude — Bahia, 28.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 28, a Serie A match in Brazil will take place between Juventude and Bahia. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Bahia's victory is priced at 2.17 (44.21%), a draw is at 3.31 (28.99%), and Juventude's win is at 3.58 (26.80%). Bahia stands out as the favorite based on both odds and percentages, with a nearly 17.5-point difference between the teams. This suggests that analysts are factoring in Bahia's advantage, although a draw is also considered quite possible. These figures suggest a dynamic match with an interesting battle for points.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Juventude averages 42% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 17.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Bahia significantly outperforms in ball control with 59.6%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per match. In their last three encounters, Juventude played as follows: 23.11 Sao Paulo - Juventude 2-1, 20.11 Juventude - Cruzeiro 3-3, 08.11 Vasco da Gama - Juventude 1-3. During the same period, Bahia played: 23.11 Bahia - Vasco da Gama 1-0, 20.11 Bahia - Fortaleza 2-3, 08.11 Internacional - Bahia 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 27.07, Bahia defeated Juventude 3-0, with over 2.5 goals scored. This highlights Bahia's attacking potential and Juventude's defensive inconsistency.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Juventude averages 3.4 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Bahia averages 3.2 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. In the last 5 games, Juventude surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark three times, while Bahia did so four out of five times. By halves, Juventude had two occurrences of over 1.5 goals in each half, while Bahia had one in the first half and four in the second half. By intervals, Juventude most often scores in the first 30 minutes (33% in two segments), while Bahia scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Goals conceded by Juventude are distributed between the end of the first and second halves (36% each), while Bahia concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Considering this data, along with the high average scoring of both sides, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for this event are 2.08, making it an attractive choice for a match with such attacking statistics. The over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 for Juventude and 4 out of 5 for Bahia, further supporting the choice of a high-scoring match.

Corners in the Match

Juventude averages 4.2 corners per game, while Bahia averages 6.6. In the last 5 games, Juventude surpassed the over 9.5 corners mark twice, while Bahia did so four times. This indicates Bahia's tendency for attacking play and high activity in the opponent's penalty area. The line for total corners offers a pair: over 9.5 is priced at 1.87, under 9.5 is also at 1.87. Such parity in odds reflects uncertainty, but recent game statistics lean towards choosing a bet on over 9.5 corners. Bahia is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.90. Overall, it makes sense to consider a bet on the over for corners, given Bahia's attacking style and frequent total surpasses in their matches.