Prediction for match Juventus — Benfica, 21.01.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Champions League on January 21, Juventus will face Benfica. The odds for a Juventus win are 1.84, a draw is at 3.81, and a Benfica victory is rated at 4.78. The probability of a Juventus win is 53.54%, a draw is 25.86%, and the likelihood of a Benfica win is 20.61%. These numbers highlight Juventus as the favorite, but Benfica is not to be underestimated, considering past encounters. This match draws attention not only due to the tournament intrigue but also because of the attacking potential of both teams, as confirmed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

Juventus has shown strong performances in their last five matches: on January 17, they lost to Cagliari 0-1, on January 12, they thrashed Cremonese 5-0, on January 6, they beat Sassuolo 3-0, on January 3, they drew with Lecce 1-1, and on December 27, they defeated Pisa 2-0. During the same period, Benfica beat Rio Ave 2-0 (January 17), lost to Porto 0-1 (January 14), won against Estoril 3-1 (January 3), drew with Braga 2-2 (December 28), and defeated Famalicão 1-0 (December 22). In their last head-to-head meeting on January 29, 2025, Benfica won 2-0 against Juventus. In additional metrics, Juventus leads in ball possession - 64.6% compared to 54.6%. For average yellow cards, Juventus records 0.4 per game, while Benfica has 2. Fouls average: Juventus - 11.6, Benfica - 10.4. Juventus also leads in offsides - 1.8 compared to 1.

Goals According to Match Statistics

Over the last five matches, Juventus has an average total of 2.6 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.4. Benfica averages 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 total goals: both teams have 2 out of 5 over and 3 under. In the first half, Juventus has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Benfica has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Juventus stands out: 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Benfica has none. In terms of goal intervals: Juventus most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (33%), while Benfica scores between 31-45 minutes (71%). Juventus most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), Benfica between 16-30 minutes (60%). This dynamic suggests that Juventus consistently capitalizes on opportunities in the second half, while Benfica can be dangerous at the end of the first half. Combined, the goal-scoring and conceding stats, along with the frequency of over 2.5 totals, make a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 a logical choice. Juventus's high scoring potential and Benfica's ability to keep pace, especially in the first half, support this.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Juventus averages 9 corners in their last five matches, while Benfica averages 6.2. For over 9.5 corners: Juventus has 4 out of 5 over, Benfica has 3 out of 5. Among the suggested totals for Over/Under, the closest to the average sum (15.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.85. In corner outcome bets, Juventus is the favorite with odds of 1.54. Given the high activity of both teams in delivering corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Juventus consistently exceeds the 8-9 corners mark, and Benfica can add dynamics in this area.