Prediction for match Juventus — Genoa

Match Analysis: Juventus vs Genoa

On April 6, 2026, a Serie A match between Juventus and Genoa will take place. According to the 1X2 odds, Juventus is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.41, a draw at 4.91, and a Genoa victory at 9.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Juventus win - 69.73%, draw - 20.03%, Genoa win - 10.24%. These figures highlight Juventus's significant advantage and the low likelihood of an upset from Genoa. The odds for other main outcomes also suggest Juventus's dominance, with goal totals indicating moderate scoring expectations. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.98, while under 2.5 is at 1.96, indicating balanced expectations for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Juventus played as follows: March 21, 2026 - Juventus vs Sassuolo - 1-1, March 14, 2026 - Udinese vs Juventus - 0-1, March 7, 2026 - Juventus vs Pisa - 4-0. Genoa's recent results are: March 20, 2026 - Genoa vs Udinese - 0-2, March 15, 2026 - Verona vs Genoa - 0-2, March 8, 2026 - Genoa vs Roma - 2-1. On average over the last five games, Juventus has 56.2% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per match. Genoa's averages are: possession 52.4%, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. The last head-to-head match was on August 31, 2025: Genoa vs Juventus - 0-1. These stats show that Juventus consistently demonstrates high levels of control and discipline, while Genoa plays cautiously and avoids rough play.

Goal Scoring Patterns

Over the last five matches, Juventus had three games with over 2.5 goals and two with under, while Genoa had two over and three under. Juventus's average goals per match is 3.6, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Genoa's average total is 2.4, with 1.4 scored and 1 conceded. By halves, Juventus had four out of five matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, and none in the first half. Genoa had three out of five in the second half with over 1.5 goals, and only once in the first half. In terms of intervals, Juventus most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), and concedes between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). Genoa often scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 (29% each), and concedes between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). These data indicate that both teams tend to be more active in the second half, especially Juventus, which consistently increases its scoring after the break. Considering the average scoring, occurrences of over 2.5 goals for both teams, and the tendency for goals after the 60th minute, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems reasonable.

Corner Totals Analysis

Juventus averages 5.8 corners over the last five matches, while Genoa averages 3. For the over 9.5 corners total, Juventus has two out of five, and Genoa one out of five. The closest line to the average sum is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.91, and under 9.5 is 1.83. Based on these stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Juventus's attacking activity and Genoa's potential to earn some set pieces. Juventus is favored in corner outcomes with odds at 1.16. Overall, Juventus is expected to attack more frequently, leading to a higher number of corners for them, while Genoa will look for opportunities from set pieces.