Prediction for match Kalmar FF — Degerfors

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swedish Allsvenskan on May 23, Kalmar FF will face Degerfors. Kalmar is the bookmakers' favorite with odds of 1.94 for their victory, a draw is priced at 3.26, and a Degerfors win is at 4.09. The probability of a Kalmar win is 48.32%, a draw is 28.76%, and a Degerfors win is 22.92%. The most intriguing bet among the totals is Over 2.0 goals with odds of 1.60. Additionally, both teams to score: yes is at 1.93 and no at 1.78, but statistically, the total goals bet is more appealing.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Kalmar played as follows: on 17.05.2026 Brommapojkarna - Kalmar 1-0, on 10.05.2026 Kalmar - Halmstad 2-0, on 02.05.2026 Sirius - Kalmar 3-2. Over the same period, Degerfors played: on 16.05.2026 GAIS - Degerfors 1-1, on 09.05.2026 Degerfors - Mjällby 1-4, on 02.05.2026 Degerfors - Häcken 1-1. In their head-to-head match on 21.10.2023, Degerfors lost to Kalmar 1-3. Additional statistics show Kalmar's average ball possession over five matches is 49.4%, they receive 1.6 yellow cards, commit 12.8 fouls, and have 1.6 offsides per game. Degerfors averages 46.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These figures suggest a fairly balanced midfield battle and moderate physicality.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Kalmar's average total goals is 2.6, while Degerfors' is slightly higher at 2.8. Kalmar scores an average of 1.4 goals per game and concedes 1.2, whereas Degerfors scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. Both teams have a balanced record for over 2.5 goals: Kalmar has 2 out of 5 matches over, and Degerfors also has 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Kalmar has 3 out of 5, and Degerfors has 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals. Kalmar's most frequent scoring interval is 46-60 minutes (33%), while Degerfors has two intervals: 0-15 and 76-90 minutes at 33% each. Kalmar most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (75%), while Degerfors has three intervals at 25% each: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes. Considering both teams' average scoring and the lack of a strong defensive profile, a bet on over 2.0 goals seems justified as both teams are capable of scoring, and Degerfors' defense is not particularly strong.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Kalmar averages 5.4 corners per match, while Degerfors averages 2.6. In the last five games, Kalmar had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Degerfors had only 1 out of 5. For a chosen total of 9.5, there are a couple of bets: over 9.5 corners is at 1.53, under 9.5 is at 2.24. Kalmar is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.40. Given the difference in average corner counts, it is logical to expect Kalmar to attack more and deliver more corners. Overall, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, and Kalmar's advantage in this component can also be considered.