Prediction for match Karviná — Pardubice

Match Analysis: Karviná vs Pardubice

On May 2, 2026, Karviná and Pardubice will face off in the Czech First Liga. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Karviná is priced at 2.40, a draw at 3.18, and a victory for Pardubice at 2.94. In terms of probabilities, Karviná has a 38.89% chance, a draw is at 29.35%, and Pardubice has a 31.75% chance. The odds suggest no clear favorite, but Karviná has a slight edge in probability. Meanwhile, the over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.59, making it an attractive option for betting.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Karviná has an average possession of 51.4%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 2.4 offsides per game. Pardubice, in the same period, has 44.2% possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 16.2 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Karviná lost to Mladá Boleslav 0-3 (April 25, 2026), defeated Dukla Prague 2-1 (April 18, 2026), and won against Slovan Liberec 3-1 (April 12, 2026). Pardubice won their last three matches against Zlín 3-1 (April 25, 2026), Viktoria Plzeň 1-0 (April 19, 2026), and Sigma Olomouc 2-1 (April 12, 2026). The last head-to-head match was on March 8, 2026, where Karviná lost to Pardubice 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a span of five games, Karviná averages a total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per match. Pardubice averages a total of 2.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals frequency, Karviná had 4 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, while Pardubice had 2 out of 5. In terms of halves, Karviná had over 1.5 goals in the first half in three out of five matches, and the same in the second half. Pardubice had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, and twice in the second half. Karviná most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%), while Pardubice spreads their peaks across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Karviná concedes more often in the first 45 minutes (25% in each of the three intervals), while Pardubice concedes most between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Given Karviná's high scoring rate and Pardubice's decent scoring stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Karviná averages 3.8 corners per game, while Pardubice averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Karviná exceeded the 9.5 corner total only once, and Pardubice did so twice. Considering the corner total, the closest figure to the combined average of both teams (8.0) is the 8.5 line, but the available odds are for a 9.5 total. In this case, it's noteworthy that exceeding 9.5 corners hasn't been frequent. Statistically, a cautious approach to betting on corners seems reasonable, as neither team consistently surpasses high totals. However, in terms of corner dynamics, Pardubice more often exceeds 4.0 per match, while Karviná remains around 3.8. Overall, the match does not promise a high number of corners, and a moderate total bet on this indicator seems justified.