Prediction for match Karviná — Slovácko

Match Analysis: Karviná vs Slovácko

Karviná and Slovácko will face off on March 1, 2026, in the Czech First Liga. According to the 1X2 odds, Karviná is the favorite: a win for Karviná is priced at 1.78, a draw at 3.64, and a win for Slovácko at 4.24. The implied probabilities are 52.39% for Karviná, 25.62% for a draw, and 21.99% for Slovácko. This suggests Karviná has the edge in the eyes of bookmakers, though a draw is also a possibility. The over/under 2.5 goals market is set at odds of 1.78 for over and 1.98 for under, indicating moderate expectations for goal-scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Karviná has an average possession of 54.2%, records 1.4 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Slovácko shows slightly more activity with 58% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Karviná lost to Jablonec 0-1 (21.02.2026), to Slavia Prague 1-3 (14.02.2026), and to Teplice 0-2 (07.02.2026). Slovácko, in their last three games, beat Pardubice 2-0 (21.02.2026), lost to Bohemians 1905 1-2 (14.02.2026), and drew with Jablonec 0-0 (07.02.2026). Their last head-to-head on October 28, 2025, ended with a 1-0 win for Karviná.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, and under in 3. On average, Karviná's matches feature 2.4 goals, while Slovácko's have 2. Karviná scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.6, whereas Slovácko scores 1 and concedes 1. By halves, over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once in 5 games for both teams, and twice in the second half. Karviná most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (50% each), while Slovácko tends to score late, between the 76th-90th minutes (50%). Karviná concedes more often in the second half: 25% in each of the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals, as well as 25% in the 16-30 minute interval. Slovácko concedes most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (50%). Overall, both teams display moderate scoring without a strong over-profile. Considering the balance of over/under 2.5 and average goal statistics, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Karviná averages 4.4 corners in their last five matches, while Slovácko averages 5.4. Regarding the over 9.5 corners market: Karviná had 2 out of 5 games go over, while Slovácko had all 5. The total closest to the combined average (4.4+5.4=9.8) is 9.5, for which both betting options are available. Over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.56, under at 2.18. Karviná is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.69. Given both teams' activity in corner kicks, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Slovácko's 5 out of 5 record.