Prediction for match Kasimpasa — Fatih Karagümrük

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig, Kasimpasa will face Fatih Karagümrük on 16.02.2026. The odds for a Kasimpasa win are 1.89, for a draw 3.58, and for a Fatih Karagümrük victory 4.47. In terms of probability: Kasimpasa - 51.26%, draw - 27.06%, Fatih Karagümrük - 21.67%. Kasimpasa appears to be the favorite, but a draw is also possible. The odds difference between the teams isn't too large, indicating some caution in the assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kasimpasa has averaged 47.2% possession, 2.2 offsides per game, 17.2 fouls, and 2 yellow cards. Fatih Karagümrük has 45.6% possession, 3.4 offsides, 13.6 fouls, and 2 yellow cards. Kasimpasa's last three matches: 09.02.2026 Gaziantep - Kasimpasa 2-1, 30.01.2026 Kasimpasa - Samsunspor 0-1, 23.01.2026 Trabzonspor - Kasimpasa 2-1. Fatih Karagümrük's: 07.02.2026 Fatih Karagümrük - Antalyaspor 1-0, 31.01.2026 Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrük 2-1, 24.01.2026 Fatih Karagümrük - Galatasaray 1-3. In their last head-to-head on 13.09.2025, Fatih Karagümrük lost to Kasimpasa 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Kasimpasa has averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, totaling 2 goals per game. Fatih Karagümrük's averages are slightly higher: 0.8 scored, 1.8 conceded, 2.6 goals per match. In the totals_last_5_matches block, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. By halves: Kasimpasa had only 1 out of 5 first halves with more than 1.5 goals, and 2 out of 5 second halves over. Fatih Karagümrük had 2 out of 5 first halves over 1.5, and 2 out of 5 second halves. For goal intervals: Kasimpasa most often scores between 76-90 minutes (43%) and concedes evenly between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Fatih Karagümrük scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes either early (0-15, 40%) or just after the break (46-60, 40%). Despite both teams having over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, the average goals remain low. Considering this, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems reasonable, as both teams haven't shown high scoring ability in their recent games, with average goals not exceeding 2.6.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Kasimpasa averages 5 corners per match, Fatih Karagümrük 3.6. In their last five matches, Kasimpasa had 2 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 corners, Fatih Karagümrük 1 out of 5. Considering a total of 9.5 corners, the odds for over are 1.89, and for under 1.79. Kasimpasa is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.35. Given the average values and frequencies, it makes sense to consider a total of 9-10 corners, but there is no clear trend towards a high number of corners. Overall, both teams do not show extreme activity in this component, as confirmed by their averages and the frequency of over 9.5 totals.