Prediction for match Kayserispor — Kocaelispor, 09.02.2026

Match Analysis: Kayserispor vs Kocaelispor

In the Turkish Süper Lig on February 9, Kayserispor will face Kocaelispor. The odds for a Kayserispor victory are 2.95, a draw is at 3.20, and a win for Kocaelispor is priced at 2.63. The probability distribution is as follows: Kayserispor - 32.86%, draw - 30.29%, Kocaelispor - 36.85%. Based on these figures, Kocaelispor is slightly favored, but the difference is minimal, indicating a closely contested match. The most balanced choice for the main prediction is the total goals, considering both teams' profiles in terms of scoring and defense.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Kayserispor lost to Galatasaray 0-4, Istanbul Basaksehir 0-3, and Besiktas 0-1. Kocaelispor lost to Fenerbahce 0-2, drew with Samsunspor 0-0, and lost to Trabzonspor 1-2. In their head-to-head on August 30, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. Over the last five matches, Kayserispor had an average ball possession of 38.4%, 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Kocaelispor had 50.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These numbers reflect Kocaelispor's higher ball control and slightly more aggressive play.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last 5 games, Kayserispor's matches averaged 2 goals, with the team scoring only 0.2 and conceding 1.8. Kocaelispor also averaged 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Both teams had 2 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, and 3 out of 5 under 2.5. In the first half, Kayserispor had 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, while Kocaelispor had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Kayserispor recorded more than 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, Kocaelispor once out of 5. Kayserispor most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while conceding 50% of their goals in the same interval. Kocaelispor scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). Given Kayserispor's low scoring and Kocaelispor's moderate productivity, along with frequent occurrences of under 2.5 goals, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.70.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last 5 matches, Kayserispor averaged 4.2 corners, while Kocaelispor averaged 4.6. In a series of five games, Kayserispor exceeded the over 9.5 corners total four times, Kocaelispor twice. The total closest to the average sum (8.8) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is at 1.56, under 8.5 is at 2.18. A win on corners is more often priced in favor of Kocaelispor (1.71). With these figures, it is logical to expect 9-10 corners in the match, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering Kayserispor's frequent overs.