Prediction for match Kilmarnock — Aberdeen, 31.01.2026

Match Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

In the Scottish Premiership on January 31, Kilmarnock will face Aberdeen. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Kilmarnock win at 2.69, a draw at 3.14, and an Aberdeen win at 2.62. In terms of probability percentages reflecting the chances of winning, Kilmarnock has 34.68%, a draw is at 29.71%, and Aberdeen stands at 35.61%. The odds and percentages indicate that the teams are quite evenly matched, with a slight edge towards Aberdeen. Interestingly, neither side is seen as a clear favorite, and bookmakers expect a closely contested battle.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary metrics, Kilmarnock has an average possession of 39% over their last five matches, receives an average of 2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Aberdeen appears slightly more active in these areas: 47% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Kilmarnock played as follows: January 24 - Motherwell 4-0 Kilmarnock, January 10 - Livingston 1-1 Kilmarnock, January 3 - Kilmarnock 1-3 Hibernian. Aberdeen's last three games were: January 24 - Aberdeen 6-2 Livingston, January 11 - Aberdeen 0-2 Rangers, January 6 - Rangers 2-0 Aberdeen. In their last head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Aberdeen defeated Kilmarnock 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of goal dynamics, Kilmarnock has an average total of 2.6 goals in their last five games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2. Aberdeen's average total is higher at 3, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Kilmarnock hit this mark in 3 out of 5 games, while Aberdeen did so in only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Kilmarnock and twice for Aberdeen. In the second half, Kilmarnock played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Aberdeen in 2 out of 5. Regarding time intervals, Kilmarnock most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (38%) and concedes between 61-75 minutes (40%). Aberdeen tends to score either at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 27%) or in the last 15 minutes (76-90 minutes - 27%), and concedes between 16-30 minutes (50%). Considering both teams' average scoring rates, Kilmarnock's over 2.5 goals record, and Aberdeen's not-so-solid defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Kilmarnock earns 4 corners per match, while Aberdeen gets 5.4, totaling 9.4. In the last 5 games, the over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for Kilmarnock and 2 times for Aberdeen. For a total of 9.5 corners, both outcomes are available: over 9.5 at 1.55, under 9.5 at 2.20. Kilmarnock is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.96. Considering the average activity in corners and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, especially given Aberdeen's attacking style and Kilmarnock's consistent 4-5 corners.