Prediction for match Kilmarnock — Celtic

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on 15.02.2026, Kilmarnock will face Celtic, with Celtic being the clear favorite. The odds for Celtic to win are 1.39, which corresponds to a 67.41% probability. The odds for a draw are 4.75 (19.72%), and a win for Kilmarnock is at 7.28 (12.87%). This disparity in odds and percentages highlights a significant advantage for Celtic. The bookmakers also anticipate a high-scoring match, with the over 2.5 goals market at 1.49, both teams to score: yes - 1.73, no - 2.00. Individual team totals: Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals - 1.58, Celtic over 1.5 goals - 1.42, Celtic over 2 goals - 1.73. First half totals: over 1.0 - 1.53, over 1.25 - 1.90. Second half over 1.5 goals is at 1.75. All of this underscores the high likelihood of goals from both sides, but with a clear edge for Celtic.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kilmarnock averages 41.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Celtic shows 52.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Kilmarnock's last three matches: 11.02.2026 - Kilmarnock 4-3 St Mirren, 04.02.2026 - Rangers 5-1 Kilmarnock, 31.01.2026 - Kilmarnock 3-0 Aberdeen. Celtic over the same period: 11.02.2026 - Celtic 2-1 Livingston, 01.02.2026 - Celtic 2-0 Falkirk, 29.01.2026 - Celtic 4-2 Utrecht. In their last head-to-head on 09.11.2025, Celtic thrashed Kilmarnock 4-0. These stats indicate that both teams are not shy of a contest, with Celtic consistently demonstrating high levels of ball control and scoring ability.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams show a strong over-profile: Kilmarnock had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Celtic also had 4 out of 5. Kilmarnock's average total goals are 4.4, while Celtic's are 3.8. Kilmarnock scores 1.8 and concedes 2.6, while Celtic scores 2.4 and concedes 1.4. By halves, Kilmarnock had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Celtic had over 1.5 in the first half 2 out of 5, and in the second half 4 out of 5. Kilmarnock most frequently scores and concedes between the 76-90 minute mark (29% and 40% respectively), while Celtic's most productive periods are 0-15 and 61-75 minutes (both 25%), and concedes most often in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 61-75 (all 29%). All this confirms that the match should be high-scoring, with goals likely in both halves. The main prediction is over 2.5 goals at 1.49, though this odds is below the acceptable threshold. The next strongest option is over 2.75 goals at 1.62, which is also supported by both teams' statistics: regular over totals, high average scoring, and second-half activity. Expecting at least three goals seems logical, with a high chance of a fourth as well.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Kilmarnock averages 4.6 corners per game, and Celtic 6.4. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5. Among the available corner totals, there's the option of over 9.5 at 1.56, under 9.5 at 2.18. Celtic to win on corners is at 1.19. Considering the average figures and the frequency of overs, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams tend towards attacking play, which contributes to a high number of corners. Options for over 10.5 (1.95) and under 10.5 (1.74) can also be considered, but over 9.5 appears the most balanced. Overall, active play on corners is expected from both sides, especially Celtic.