Prediction for match Kilmarnock — Hearts

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Match Analysis

In the Scottish Premiership on March 14, Kilmarnock will face Hearts. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Hearts is priced at 1.74, a draw at 3.75, and a victory for Kilmarnock at 4.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Kilmarnock - 21.19%, draw - 24.98%, Hearts - 53.83%. Hearts have a clear advantage in both percentage and odds, making them the main contender for victory in this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kilmarnock averaged 47.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Hearts have averages of 48.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Looking at Kilmarnock's last three games: February 28, 2026 Falkirk 5-1 Kilmarnock, February 21, 2026 Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock, February 15, 2026 Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic. Hearts' last three matches: February 28, 2026 Hearts 1-0 Aberdeen, February 21, 2026 Hearts 1-0 Falkirk, February 15, 2026 Rangers 4-2 Hearts. The last head-to-head match was on December 3, 2025: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Kilmarnock stands out with a high average goal rate: 5.2 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 3.4. Hearts have more modest figures: 2 goals on average, scoring and conceding 1 each. In a series of five games, Kilmarnock had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, while Hearts had it only once in 5. By halves, Kilmarnock had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5, and in the second half in all 5 out of 5. Hearts had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 out of 5 times, and also 1 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals, Kilmarnock most often scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (22% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 44%). Hearts' most frequent scoring interval is 76-90 minutes (38%), and for conceding it's 16-30 minutes (100%). Despite Kilmarnock's high-scoring matches, Hearts show a more solid defense and fewer goals in both directions. This supports the choice for a Hearts victory, considering their stability and low conceding rate.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Kilmarnock earns 4.2 corners, and Hearts 4.8 per match. In a series of five games, Kilmarnock exceeded the total of 9.5 corners 3 times, and Hearts 4 times. Considering the total corners of 9.5, the odds for over are 1.57, and for under 2.16. In the corners outcome, Hearts are favorites with odds of 1.49. Given both teams' average activity in deliveries and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.