Prediction for match Kilmarnock — St. Mirren, 11.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on February 11, Kilmarnock will face St. Mirren. The odds for a St. Mirren win are 2.51, for Kilmarnock 2.76, and a draw is priced at 3.22. In terms of percentages: Kilmarnock is rated at 33.82%, a draw at 28.99%, and St. Mirren at 37.19%. Based on these figures, St. Mirren holds a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is minimal, and a tough match is expected. Bookmakers' predictions do not highlight a clear leader, and the spread of odds suggests a high likelihood of any outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Kilmarnock lost 1-5 to Rangers on February 4, defeated Aberdeen 3-0 on January 31, and lost 0-4 to Motherwell on January 24. St. Mirren played to a 1-0 win against Hearts, a 0-0 draw with Dundee FC, and a 1-1 draw with Livingston in their last three encounters. In their head-to-head meeting on December 27, 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw. Over a five-match series, Kilmarnock averages 39.2% possession, commits 13.6 fouls, receives 2 yellow cards, and records 2 offsides per game. St. Mirren holds possession 47.2% of the time, commits 13.6 fouls, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 3 offsides. These statistics show St. Mirren as slightly more disciplined and more in control of the ball, but both teams are identical in terms of fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Kilmarnock exceeded the total over 2.5 goals four times, with only one match ending under. For St. Mirren, all five matches ended under 2.5 goals. Kilmarnock's average goals per match is 3.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.6 per game. St. Mirren's average total is 1.4, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1. By halves, Kilmarnock exceeded 1.5 goals in the second half three times out of five, while the first half saw over 1.5 goals twice. St. Mirren never exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half, but did so three times in the second. Kilmarnock most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (29%), while conceding between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). St. Mirren most often scores in the second half: 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each), and concedes evenly across three intervals in the second half (33% each). These figures indicate that Kilmarnock plays in high-scoring matches, while St. Mirren consistently keeps scores low. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.72, and this bet seems the most logical: Kilmarnock has an over-profile, but St. Mirren is extremely under, and their recent meeting ended 0-0.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Kilmarnock averages 3.8 corners per match, St. Mirren 5. In the last five matches, Kilmarnock exceeded the total over 9.5 corners three times, St. Mirren twice. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.57, under 9.5 at 2.16. Together, the teams average 8.8 corners per game, which is close to this line. In the outcome for corners, Kilmarnock is the favorite with odds of 1.95. Statistically, both teams are capable of being active or cautious in this component, but a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, considering Kilmarnock's recent match frequency.