Prediction for match Kocaelispor — Antalyaspor

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Turkish Süper Lig on December 19, Kocaelispor will face Antalyaspor. The odds for Kocaelispor to win are 1.69, a draw is priced at 3.78, and Antalyaspor's victory is valued at 5.66. The probability distribution is as follows: a Kocaelispor win - 57.28%, a draw - 25.61%, and an Antalyaspor win - 17.10%. The most likely outcome is a Kocaelispor victory, as suggested by both the odds and the calculated chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Kocaelispor has an average possession of 55.4%, commits 11.6 fouls, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and records 3.2 offsides per game. Antalyaspor lags in possession (44%), matches in fouls (11.6), is slightly lower in yellow cards (1.4), and has fewer offsides (2.8). In their last three encounters, Kocaelispor played as follows: December 14 - Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Kocaelispor, December 7 - Kocaelispor 0-0 Kasımpaşa, November 28 - Kocaelispor 1-0 Gençlerbirliği. Antalyaspor's last three matches: December 13 - Antalyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray, December 8 - Alanyaspor 0-0 Antalyaspor, November 30 - Antalyaspor 1-2 Göztepe. In their last head-to-head on January 7, 2025, Antalyaspor defeated Kocaelispor 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Kocaelispor averages 0.8 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding just 0.2. Antalyaspor is noticeably more prolific: 2.4 goals in matches, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8. Kocaelispor has not surpassed the total over 2.5 in any of their five games, while Antalyaspor has done so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Kocaelispor has never exceeded 1.5 total, whereas Antalyaspor has done so in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Kocaelispor has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Antalyaspor has 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Kocaelispor scores most frequently between 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes exclusively at the end (76-90 minutes - 100%). Antalyaspor scores most often between 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes at the start (0-15 minutes - 33%) and mid-second half (46-60 minutes - 33%). Given Kocaelispor's low scoring and Antalyaspor's not-so-stable defense, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems reasonable: Kocaelispor has no over 2.5 in five games, and both teams' average goals scored do not exceed 0.6.

Analysis of Total Corners

Kocaelispor averages 5 corners per match, Antalyaspor - 3. In the last five games, Kocaelispor has exceeded 9.5 corners once, and Antalyaspor 2 out of 5. The total closest to the average value (8) is 8.5, but the odds only offer a total of 9.5: no odds for over 9.5, and none for under 9.5 either. Based on actual averages, 7-8 corners per match can be expected. Considering the statistics, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, as neither team shows high activity in this aspect. It's hard to pick a winner on corners since Kocaelispor has the average advantage, but Antalyaspor has had matches with sharp increases in this component.