Prediction for match Kocaelispor — Fatih Karagümrük

Match Analysis: Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük

On May 9, Kocaelispor will face Fatih Karagümrük in the Süper Lig. The odds for the match are as follows: a Kocaelispor win is priced at 1.91, a draw at 3.64, and a Fatih Karagümrük victory at 4.32. Based on probability percentages, Kocaelispor has a 50.84% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.68%, and Fatih Karagümrük has a 22.48% chance of winning. The odds and probabilities favor Kocaelispor, which is also reflected in the betting distribution for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kocaelispor has an average possession of 48%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Fatih Karagümrük has 43.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Kocaelispor's last three matches: 03.05.2026 Kasımpaşa - Kocaelispor 1-1, 26.04.2026 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 1-0, 18.04.2026 Kocaelispor - Göztepe 1-1. Fatih Karagümrük's recent games: 03.05.2026 Fatih Karagümrük - Gençlerbirliği 1-0, 27.04.2026 Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrük 0-0, 18.04.2026 Fatih Karagümrük - Eyüpspor 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Fatih Karagümrük and Kocaelispor drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Kocaelispor's last five games, the total over 2.5 goals did not occur, while for Fatih Karagümrük, it happened three times. The average number of goals in Kocaelispor's matches is 1.4, and for Fatih Karagümrük, it's 2. Kocaelispor scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 0.8, while Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2. In the first half, Kocaelispor had over 1.5 goals only once in five matches, while Fatih Karagümrük had it in three. In the second half, Kocaelispor never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Fatih Karagümrük did once in five games. In terms of intervals, Kocaelispor scores evenly across four different segments at 25% each, while 57% of Fatih Karagümrük's goals come between the 16th and 30th minutes. For goals conceded, Kocaelispor has three intervals at 33% each, while Fatih Karagümrük concedes 75% of their goals at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes). Considering Kocaelispor's low scoring and Fatih Karagümrük's not very high scoring, along with frequent under 2.5 goal outcomes, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over their last five matches, Kocaelispor averages 3.6 corners, and Fatih Karagümrük averages 2.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams have only one occurrence in five matches. The closest total to the average is 6.0, but the available line is only at 9.5 with two outcomes. There is no clear advantage in corners, as neither team has a stable lead. Given the dynamics of corners, it makes sense to consider lower total options, considering the low averages and rare occurrences of high values.