Prediction for match Kocaelispor — Istanbul Basaksehir

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig on April 6, Kocaelispor will face Istanbul Basaksehir. The odds for an Istanbul Basaksehir victory are 2.62, for a Kocaelispor win - 3.04, and a draw is priced at 3.12. In terms of probability: 37.02% for an Istanbul Basaksehir win, 31.90% for Kocaelispor, and 31.08% for a draw. Based on these numbers, Istanbul Basaksehir emerges as the more likely winner, but the difference is not critical, and the match could be closely contested.

Team Results and Statistics

Kocaelispor has suffered two defeats in their last three matches: 0-5 against Alanyaspor (18.03.2026), 1-2 against Konyaspor (14.03.2026), and secured a 1-0 win over Eyüpspor (09.03.2026). Istanbul Basaksehir drew 0-0 with Antalyaspor (18.03.2026), lost 0-3 to Galatasaray (14.03.2026), and defeated Göztepe 2-1 (07.03.2026). In their head-to-head on 31.10.2025, Istanbul Basaksehir was victorious with a 1-0 scoreline. Additional stats: Kocaelispor's average ball possession over five matches is 47.8%, while Istanbul Basaksehir's is 51.4%. Kocaelispor commits 18 fouls per game, Istanbul Basaksehir - 12.8. Yellow cards: Kocaelispor averages 2.4, Istanbul Basaksehir 2.8. Offsides are 1.4 versus 1.2, respectively.

Goals Statistics

In a five-match series, Kocaelispor has an average total of 2.4 goals, while Istanbul Basaksehir's is 2.2. Kocaelispor scores an average of 0.4 goals per match, conceding 2, while Istanbul Basaksehir scores 1.2 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: Kocaelispor has 2 in 5, Istanbul Basaksehir 3 in 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Kocaelispor and twice for Istanbul Basaksehir. In the second half, both teams have 2 occurrences of over 1.5 goals in 5 matches. Interval scoring: Kocaelispor most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (both 25%), and concedes mostly towards the end (76-90 minutes - 50%). Istanbul Basaksehir scores 50% of their goals between 61-75 minutes, and concedes 67% between 31-45 minutes. Considering Kocaelispor's low scoring rate and both teams' moderate average totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems logical: Kocaelispor only had 2 out of 5 matches with over goals, and Istanbul Basaksehir lacks consistent scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Kocaelispor averages 4.2 corners, while Istanbul Basaksehir averages 3 per match. In the last 5 matches, Kocaelispor had only 1 game with over 9.5 corners, and Istanbul Basaksehir had 2. The closest total to their average corners is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.72, under 8.5 at 1.98. For corner outcome: Kocaelispor's win is at odds of 2.07, Istanbul Basaksehir's at 2.18. Based on average figures and frequency, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified, but a slight edge in favor of Kocaelispor on corners is also plausible.