Prediction for match Kocaelispor — Kasimpasa, 07.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig match on December 7, 2025, Kocaelispor will face Kasimpasa. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Kocaelispor is priced at 1.89, a draw at 3.58, and a win for Kasimpasa at 4.47. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Kocaelispor win 51.26%, draw 27.06%, Kasimpasa win 21.67%. The most likely outcome is a victory for Kocaelispor, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution. Kasimpasa is significantly less likely to succeed, while a draw holds an intermediate position.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kocaelispor has an average ball possession of 47.6%, records 1.6 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Kasimpasa averages 48.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Kocaelispor's last three matches: 28.11.2025 - Kocaelispor vs Genclerbirligi 1-0, 23.11.2025 - Goztepe vs Kocaelispor 0-0, 09.11.2025 - Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray 1-0. Kasimpasa's last three matches: 29.11.2025 - Kasimpasa vs Istanbul Basaksehir 1-3, 23.11.2025 - Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa 1-2, 08.11.2025 - Kasimpasa vs Goztepe 0-2. Their head-to-head on 28.12.2021 ended with Kasimpasa 5-3 Kocaelispor.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring in the last five matches, Kocaelispor averages 1 goal per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.2. Kasimpasa has a much higher average of 3.2 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2. Kocaelispor has gone over 2.5 goals in 0 out of 5, while Kasimpasa has done so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Kocaelispor has 0 out of 5 over 1.5, while Kasimpasa has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Kocaelispor has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Kasimpasa has 4 out of 5. Kocaelispor most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (40%), while Kasimpasa scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Kasimpasa also concedes more frequently between the 46th and 60th minute (36%). Given Kasimpasa's over-profile on goals and Kocaelispor's consistent low-scoring games, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems logical: Kocaelispor rarely plays high-scoring games, and Kasimpasa, despite their goal-heavy matches, often faces low-scoring opponents.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Kocaelispor is 4.4, and for Kasimpasa, it's 6.4 per match. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Kocaelispor has 2 out of 5 games, and Kasimpasa has 3 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the sum of averages (10.8) is 10 corners: over 10 at 2.45, under 10 at 1.51. In the corner outcome market, Kocaelispor is favored with odds of 1.66. Considering the average values of both teams, a bet on over 10 corners seems justified, especially given Kasimpasa's frequency and high average.