Prediction for match Korona Kielce — Lech Poznan

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Ekstraklasa on February 22, Korona Kielce will face Lech Poznan. The odds for a Lech Poznan victory are 2.53, for a Korona Kielce win - 2.58, and a draw is priced at 3.38. In terms of probability percentages, Lech Poznan is rated at 36.64%, Korona Kielce at 35.93%, and a draw at 27.43%. Based on the odds, the match promises to be closely contested, with no clear favorite, but with a slight edge towards Lech Poznan. Additionally, for the 'both teams to score' market: yes is priced at 1.56, no at 2.28, indicating fairly high expectations of goals from both sides.

Review of Recent Matches

Korona Kielce has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. In their most recent games, Korona Kielce defeated Radomiak Radom 2-0 (13.02.2026), lost to Zagłębie Lubin 1-2 (06.02.2026), and beat Legia Warsaw 2-1 (01.02.2026). Lech Poznan, in their last five encounters, has won three times and lost twice. In their latest matches, Lech Poznan defeated KuPS 2-0 (19.02.2026), thrashed Piast Gliwice 3-0 (15.02.2026), and overcame Górnik Zabrze 1-0 (07.02.2026). In their last head-to-head meeting on August 16, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

Goals Statistics

Over a five-match series, both teams have an average total of 2.2 goals per match, indicating moderate scoring. Korona Kielce scores an average of 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1, while Lech Poznan scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Korona Kielce has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Lech Poznan 3 out of 5. In the second half, Korona Kielce has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Lech Poznan 1 out of 5. Timing-wise, Korona Kielce most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Lech Poznan scores in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Korona Kielce most often concedes late (76th-90th minutes, 38%), whereas Lech Poznan concedes early (0-15 minutes, 50%). Given these statistics, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.56 seems logical, considering both teams regularly score and concede, and their averages and goal totals support this bet.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding average corners, Korona Kielce averages 3.4 over 5 matches, Lech Poznan 6.6, totaling 10. In a series of five games, Korona Kielce's total corners over 9.5 occurred once, Lech Poznan's twice. The line closest to the combined average corners is 10.5: odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.97, and the same for under. Korona Kielce is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.85. Overall, considering the high average of corners, betting on over 10.5 is worth considering, although the frequency of hitting this mark is not very high for both teams.