Prediction for match Kosovo — Slovenia

Who is the favorite in the Kosovo - Slovenia match

In the clash between Kosovo and Slovenia, which will take place on October 10 as part of the European qualifiers for the World Cup, the odds for the outcome highlight Kosovo as the favorite. The odds for Kosovo to win are 2.35 with a probability of 40.3%. Slovenia is valued at 3.10 (30.55%), and a draw is 3.25 (29.14%). The advantage in probability is on the Kosovo side, but the difference between the teams is not so significant, which indicates a fairly even confrontation according to analysts' expectations.

Team form

Kosovo in the last five-match series scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.2, a total average of 2.8 goals per game. Slovenia demonstrates more modest figures: 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, the average total is 2 goals. From Kosovo's recent results: victory over Sweden 2-0 (08.09.2025), defeat from Switzerland 0-4 (05.09.2025), confident victories over the Comoros Islands (4-2) and Armenia (5-2). Slovenia in recent meetings lost to Switzerland 0-3 (08.09.2025), drew with Sweden 2-2 and defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-1. In head-to-head meetings: in 2020, Slovenia won both matches - 2-1 and 1-0.

How many goals to expect?

According to the totals for the last 5 meetings, Kosovo played three times on the total over 2.5, twice - on the under. Slovenia twice showed a result over 2.5 and three times under. The average total for goals for Kosovo is 2.8, for Slovenia - 2. The most common time for Kosovo to score is in the 16-30 minute interval (40%), and Slovenia - also in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (33%). Conceded goals for Kosovo are most often recorded between 31-45 minutes (50%), for Slovenia - evenly over three intervals: 16-30, 61-75 and 76-90 (33%). In terms of halftime totals, 4 out of the last 5 matches for Kosovo had a halftime total over 1.5, but all 5 times the second half was under 1.5. For Slovenia, the halftime total was over 1.5 only once and the second half total over 1.5 once.

Corner statistics

Kosovo earns an average of 4 corners in the last 5 games, Slovenia - 1.8. The frequency of the total corners over 9.5 is low for both teams: only 1 out of 5 encounters. According to the odds for corners: the total over 8.5 is 1.80, under - 1.91. In the line for corner victory, Kosovo is the favorite with odds of 1.73.