Prediction for match Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League on May 1, 2026, Krylia Sovetov will face Spartak Moscow. Bookmakers have marked Spartak Moscow as favorites: their victory is priced at odds of 1.64, a draw at 4.43, and a win for Krylia Sovetov at 5.55. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.03% for a Spartak Moscow win, 22.23% for a draw, and 17.74% for Krylia Sovetov. These figures suggest a clear advantage for Spartak Moscow, as confirmed by the probability percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Krylia Sovetov played as follows: April 25, 2026 - Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow, April 21, 2026 - Sochi 2-1 Krylia Sovetov, April 18, 2026 - Krylia Sovetov 1-1 CSKA Moscow. Spartak Moscow's last three results: April 26, 2026 - Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 Spartak Moscow, April 23, 2026 - Spartak Moscow 1-2 Krasnodar, April 19, 2026 - Spartak Moscow 3-1 Akhmat. Over the last five matches, Krylia Sovetov have an average possession of 46.8%, receive 3.2 yellow cards, commit 11.6 fouls, and are caught offside 1.2 times. Spartak Moscow have 60% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their head-to-head meeting on September 21, 2025, Spartak Moscow defeated Krylia Sovetov 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Krylia Sovetov's last five matches, the total over 2.5 occurred 3 times, while under 2.5 occurred twice. Spartak Moscow had 4 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals. Krylia Sovetov's average goals scored is 1.4, with 1.4 conceded, totaling 2.8 goals per match. Spartak Moscow has higher averages: 1.8 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, with a total of 3. In terms of halves, Krylia Sovetov had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, but 4 out of 5 in the second half. Spartak Moscow is the opposite: 4 out of 5 with over 1.5 goals in the first half, but only 1 out of 5 in the second. By intervals, Krylia Sovetov most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (40%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (40%). Spartak Moscow's most productive periods are between the 16th and 45th minute (38% of goals), and they concede most often between the 31st and 45th minute (43%). Overall, both teams tend to play in high-scoring matches, especially Spartak Moscow, as evidenced by the frequent occurrence of totals over 2.5 and average goals. The most logical bet seems to be on a total over 2.5 at odds of 1.83.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last five matches, Krylia Sovetov averages 6.6 corners, while Spartak Moscow averages 4.6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Krylia Sovetov had 4 out of 5 matches go over, while Spartak Moscow had only 1 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (11.2) is 10.5: total corners over 10.5 is priced at 2.36, under 10.5 at 1.50. In corner outcome betting, Spartak Moscow is favored with odds of 1.37. Considering Krylia Sovetov's high activity in delivering corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 10.5, but caution is advised due to Spartak Moscow's low productivity in this area.