Prediction for match Mechelen — Charleroi, 07.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Jupiler Pro League on December 7, 2025, Mechelen will face Charleroi. The odds for the match outcome are as follows: a Charleroi win is priced at 2.40, a Mechelen win at 2.98, and a draw at 3.40. According to the probabilities, Charleroi has a 39.82% chance of winning, Mechelen 32.07%, and a draw 28.11%. The most likely outcome based on the odds and percentages is a win for Charleroi, although the difference between the teams isn't overwhelming. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for additional betting strategies.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Mechelen's last five games resulted in: a 0-1 loss to Standard Liège, a 1-0 win over Genk, a 1-1 draw with Union Saint-Gilloise, a 1-3 loss to Anderlecht, and a 1-1 draw with Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Charleroi's last five results include a 0-0 draw with RAAL La Louvière, a 0-1 loss to Club Brugge, a 2-0 win over Westerlo, a 1-3 loss to Standard Liège, and a 1-0 win over Anderlecht. On average over these five matches, Mechelen had 49.4% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 9.4 fouls, and had 2 offsides per game. Charleroi averaged 47.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 4, 2025, Charleroi defeated Mechelen 2-0.

Totals Statistics

In their last five matches, both teams rarely hit the over 2.5 total goals mark: Mechelen did so once in five, and Charleroi also once in five. Mechelen averages 2 goals per match, while Charleroi averages 1.6. Both teams scored an average of 0.8 goals per game, with Mechelen conceding an average of 1.2 and Charleroi 0.8. In terms of half-time totals, over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred once in five for Mechelen, similarly for Charleroi. In the second half, Mechelen had over 1.5 goals twice in five, Charleroi once in five. Mechelen scored evenly across five different 20% intervals, conceding most frequently between 76-90 minutes (40%). Charleroi scored 43% of their goals between 46-60 minutes, with all goals conceded between 31-45 minutes (100%). Overall, both teams show low scoring rates, confirmed by the frequent under 2.5 totals. The most logical bet seems to be under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Mechelen over five matches is 3.8, for Charleroi it's 6.8. In their last five matches, Mechelen hit the over 9.5 corners total twice, Charleroi four times. Considering the corners total, bets closest to the sum of the averages (3.8+6.8=10.6) are over 10.5 at 2.09 and under 10.5 at 1.61. Charleroi is favored in the corners market at odds of 2.02. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given Charleroi's high numbers and the frequency of this total in recent matches.