Prediction for match Mechelen — Dender, 27.12.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Jupiler Pro League, Mechelen faces Dender in a match scheduled for December 27, 2025. According to 1X2 odds, Mechelen is favored to win at 2.16, Dender's victory is priced at 3.28, and a draw is at 3.58. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Mechelen - 44.21%, Dender - 29.11%, Draw - 26.67%. Bookmakers see Mechelen as the more likely winner, but Dender also has a fair chance of securing a positive result. The main prediction for the game is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.80.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mechelen has averaged 49.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. During the same period, Dender has 47.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Mechelen's last three matches: 21.12.2025 Sint-Truiden - Mechelen 1-0, 13.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Mechelen 2-3, 07.12.2025 Mechelen - Charleroi 1-0. Dender's recent results: 20.12.2025 Dender - Standard Liège 0-1, 14.12.2025 Dender - Club Brugge 1-5, 05.12.2025 RAAL La Louvière - Dender 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Dender lost to Mechelen 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Mechelen's matches have gone over 2.5 goals once, and under 2.5 goals four times, whereas Dender has seen over 2.5 goals in four out of five. On average, Mechelen scores 1 goal and concedes 0.8, with an overall average total of 1.8. Dender's averages are higher: 1.4 goals scored, 2 conceded, and an overall total of 3.4. By halves, Mechelen has had over 1.5 goals in only 1 of 5 matches in both halves, while Dender has seen this in 3 of 5 in each half. Mechelen most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (50%), and Dender between 31-45 minutes (40%). In terms of goals conceded: Mechelen most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (60%), and Dender between 46-60 minutes (31%). Overall, Dender shows a high-scoring tendency with frequent over 2.5 goal matches, while Mechelen consistently finds the net, albeit less actively. Both teams have periods of scoring activity, supporting the choice of betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.80.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Mechelen averages 5.8 corners over five matches, while Dender averages 2.4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Mechelen has 2 out of 5 matches, Dender has none. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.46, under 8.5 at 2.41. Mechelen is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.92. In this match, it's logical to expect Mechelen to have the advantage in corner kicks, and the total number of corners might be around 8-9, considering the current statistics of both teams.