Prediction for match Lanus — Deportivo Riestra

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On May 2, 2026, Lanus will face Deportivo Riestra in the Argentine Professional League. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Lanus win at 1.89, draw at 3.08, and Deportivo Riestra win at 4.68. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lanus - 49.57%, draw - 30.42%, Deportivo Riestra - 20.02%. Lanus is marked as the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, yet the gap is not overwhelming, which adds intrigue to the analysis of totals and scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lanus has shown a high ball possession rate of 62.6%, averages 2.4 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides per game. Deportivo Riestra lags in these metrics: possession 32.8%, yellow cards 2.6, fouls 12.4, offsides 1.8. Lanus' last three matches: April 28, 2026 - Lanus vs. LDU Quito - 1:0, April 24, 2026 - Lanus vs. Central Cordoba de Santiago - 0:0, April 21, 2026 - Gimnasia M. vs. Lanus - 1:0. For Deportivo Riestra: April 29, 2026 - Deportivo Riestra vs. Montevideo City Torque - 2:1, April 24, 2026 - Deportivo Riestra vs. Independiente - 2:0, April 19, 2026 - Talleres Cordoba vs. Deportivo Riestra - 2:0. In their last head-to-head on July 14, 2025, Deportivo Riestra defeated Lanus 1-0.

Total Statistics

In Lanus' last five matches, there has not been a single over 2.5 goals - 0 out of 5 for over, 5 out of 5 for under. Deportivo Riestra had only one match with over 2.5 goals, four times under. The average total goals in Lanus matches is 0.8, while for Deportivo Riestra it is 1.8. Lanus scores an average of 0.6 goals per game and concedes 0.2, whereas Deportivo Riestra scores 0.8 and concedes 1. By halves, Lanus has never seen over 1.5 goals in either the first or second half (0 out of 5 in each case). Deportivo Riestra had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half, never in the second half. Lanus scores most frequently between the 61-75 and 76-90 minute marks (40% each), while Deportivo Riestra scores in the first 30 minutes and at the end (29% each). Lanus has no distinct intervals for conceding, while Deportivo Riestra concedes most often between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). All these indicators confirm the low scoring nature of both teams, especially Lanus, making a bet on under 2.0 goals at 1.61 a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lanus averages 5.6 corners per match, while Deportivo Riestra averages 4.2. In the last five encounters, Lanus exceeded the 9.5 corner total twice, and Deportivo Riestra did so three times. The closest total to their average is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.11, under 9.5 is 1.72. No clear favorite emerges in terms of corner outcomes, but based on average activity, both teams are capable of delivering 9-10 corners per game. A cautious approach to betting on corners seems prudent, considering the average performance in this area.