Prediction for match Lanus — Newells Old Boys

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

The match between Lanus and Newells Old Boys in the Argentine Professional League will take place on 17.03.2026. Bookmakers consider Lanus the favorite, offering odds of 1.72 for their win, 3.34 for a draw, and 5.34 for a Newells Old Boys victory. The probabilities for the outcomes are estimated as follows: Lanus - 54.43%, draw - 28.03%, Newells Old Boys - 17.53%. This suggests a significant advantage for Lanus, as reflected in both the odds and probability distribution. However, a draw is also a possibility, given the relatively high percentage for it.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lanus played as follows: on 13.03.2026, Estudiantes - Lanus 0-1, on 05.03.2026, Lanus - Boca Juniors 0-3, and on 02.03.2026, Defensa y Justicia - Lanus 1-1. Newells Old Boys' recent results are: on 11.03.2026, Newells Old Boys - Platense 1-1, on 01.03.2026, Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central 0-2, and on 25.02.2026, Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes 0-2. The last head-to-head between these teams was on 05.10.2024: Newells Old Boys - Lanus 2-1. Additional statistics show that Lanus, over a five-match series, has an average possession of 48%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times per game. Newells Old Boys, over the same period, averages 41.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. These figures suggest Lanus plays more disciplined football, while Newells Old Boys tend to play more aggressively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring ability of both teams in their last five matches has been low. Lanus averages 2 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. Newells Old Boys have a slightly higher average of 2.2, but they only score 0.4 and concede 1.8 on average. In terms of matches with over 2.5 goals, both teams have only had 1 out of 5 matches go over, with the other 4 going under. Lanus exceeded 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second half over five matches, while Newells Old Boys never exceeded 1.5 in the first half but did so three times in the second half. Lanus most frequently scores between the 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), while Newells Old Boys most often scores between 61-75 minutes (40%). In terms of conceding, Lanus is most vulnerable between 61-75 minutes (33%), and Newells Old Boys between 76-90 minutes (67%). Overall, the low scoring and frequent under 2.5 goal outcomes suggest a low-scoring game.

Corner Bets

Lanus averages 3.6 corners per match over the last 5 games, while Newells Old Boys average 2.8. In the last 5 games, both teams only exceeded 9.5 total corners once, with the rest going under. The total closest to their average (6.4) is 7.5: over 7.5 is at 1.36, and under 7.5 is at 2.90. Another option is total 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.62, under 8.5 is at 2.16. Lanus is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.41. Overall, the recent match statistics point to low corner activity, making a bet on under 9.5 corners a logical choice for this match.