Prediction for match Las Palmas — Burgos, 07.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The match between Las Palmas and Burgos in the Segunda is scheduled for February 7, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Las Palmas is at 1.88, a draw is at 3.31, and a win for Burgos is at 4.78. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Las Palmas 50.99%, draw 28.96%, Burgos 20.05%. Las Palmas is considered the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and recent match statistics. Options for total goals and both teams to score are also available, but the main interest is in the match outcome line, considering the difference in team performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Las Palmas has an average ball possession of 59.8%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 4.4 times per game. Burgos is more modest in these stats: 48.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Las Palmas played as follows: 30.01.2026 Real Sociedad II - Las Palmas 1-1, 24.01.2026 Las Palmas - Cordoba 1-2, 18.01.2026 Racing Santander - Las Palmas 4-1. Burgos' last three games: 31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganes 2-1, 23.01.2026 Malaga - Burgos 3-0, 18.01.2026 Burgos - Huesca 1-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 07.09.2025: Burgos - Las Palmas 0-0.

Goal Totals Statistics

In the last five matches, Las Palmas hit the over 2.5 goals mark three times and stayed under twice. Burgos had two overs and three unders. On average, Las Palmas' matches see 3 goals, while Burgos' see 2. Las Palmas scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8 per game, while Burgos scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2. In terms of halves, Las Palmas had three out of five matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and the same in the second half. Burgos had only one match with over 1.5 goals in both halves. Las Palmas most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), while Burgos distributes their goals evenly across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes at 29% each. Las Palmas concedes most in the first 30 minutes (29% in each of the first two intervals), while Burgos concedes early, mid-second half, and late (33% each). Considering Las Palmas' average scoring and Burgos' not-so-reliable defense, a bet on over 1.5 goals at 1.54 seems justified: both teams are capable of scoring, but an explosive result is not expected.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams average 3.6 corners per match over the last five games. Las Palmas had only one match exceeding the total of 9.5 corners in their last five games, while Burgos had none. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 8 is at 1.55, and under 8 is at 2.29. There's also a line for winning on corners: Las Palmas is the favorite with odds of 1.47. Based on the average corner performance and frequency of overs, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 8, given that both teams regularly deliver 3-4 corners per game, and the balance for the 9.5 total remains low.