Prediction for match Lausanne — Basel

Match Analysis: Lausanne vs Basel

In the Swiss Super League on March 1st, Lausanne will face Basel. The odds for a Lausanne victory are 2.35, a draw is priced at 3.62, and a Basel win is at 2.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lausanne - 39.69%, draw - 25.77%, Basel - 34.54%. This suggests that the bookmakers see no clear favorite, but expect a competitive match with a slight edge for Lausanne. The over 2.75 goals market is at 1.58, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lausanne played as follows: 26.02.2026 Lausanne - Sigma Olomouc 1-2, 22.02.2026 Lugano - Lausanne 2-1, 19.02.2026 Sigma Olomouc - Lausanne 1-1. Basel's last three results were: 22.02.2026 Luzern - Basel 4-2, 15.02.2026 Basel - Lugano 1-1, 12.02.2026 Sion - Basel 2-0. On average over five matches, Lausanne has 52.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. Basel averages 54.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Basel and Lausanne drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Lausanne averages 4 goals per five-match series, while Basel averages 3.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 matches for Lausanne and in 3 out of 5 for Basel. Lausanne had over 1.5 first-half goals 3 times out of 5, while Basel only once. In the second half, Lausanne recorded over 1.5 goals in 3 matches out of 5, and Basel in 4 out of 5. Lausanne most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), while Basel scores mostly towards the end (76-90 minutes, 45%). Lausanne is most vulnerable to conceding between 16-30 minutes (38%), and Basel between 61-75 minutes (33%). The average goals scored by Lausanne is 1.4, and for Basel it's 1.2, with goals conceded at 2.6 and 2 respectively. Given these figures, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.58 seems reasonable: both teams regularly engage in high-scoring matches, especially in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lausanne averages 5.4 corners over five matches, and Basel 5.8. In four of the last five games, both teams exceeded the 9.5 corner total. The line for corners is over 9.5 at 1.56, under 9.5 at 2.18. Lausanne is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.57. Considering the average values and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total, it is logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners. Additionally, note the high activity of both teams in taking corners in recent matches.