Prediction for match Lausanne — Lugano, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Lausanne vs Lugano

In the Swiss Super League on December 7, Lausanne will face Lugano. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Lausanne is priced at 2.11, Lugano at 3.12, and a draw at 3.65. The implied probabilities are distributed as follows: Lausanne 44.36%, draw 25.64%, Lugano 30%. The most likely outcome is considered to be a win for Lausanne, but the gap between the teams is not very large. This is also reflected in the double chance odds: Lausanne/draw 1.33, Lugano/draw 1.69, Lausanne/Lugano 1.26. For both teams to score, 'yes' is priced at 1.50 and 'no' at 2.42. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.60, and under 2.5 goals are 2.29. These indicators suggest an open match with the potential for a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Lausanne has an average ball possession of 54.2%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per match. Lugano slightly lags in possession (51.4%), with 2.8 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Lausanne beat Thun 2-1 (30.11), lost to Lech Poznań 0-2 (27.11), and lost to St. Gallen 0-1 (23.11). Lugano drew with Sion 1-1 (29.11), lost to St. Gallen 1-3 (26.11), and beat Thun 1-0 (22.11). Their last head-to-head was on September 17: Lugano - Lausanne 1-1. Both teams have shown similar results in this series, which is confirmed by the balance of their recent encounters.

Goal Statistics

Over the last five matches, Lausanne scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, with an overall goal rate of 2.4. Lugano's averages are 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, totaling 2 goals per game. For over 2.5 goals, Lausanne has 2 out of 5, and Lugano only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Lausanne has 3 out of 5, Lugano 1 out of 5. In the second half, Lausanne has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, Lugano 3 out of 5. Lausanne most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Lugano scores most between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Lausanne concedes most in the first 15 minutes (50%), and Lugano between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). Overall, neither team shows a pronounced over-profile, but there's no strong under-trend either. Given the balance, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.50 seems logical, considering both teams have stable scoring and conceding metrics and are capable of finding the net. However, the over 2.5 goals bet hasn't occurred frequently, and the bet on both teams to score: yes is supported by average scoring and goal distribution across halves.

Corner Analysis

Lausanne averages 6.4 corners per game, while Lugano averages 3.8. In the last 5 matches, over 9.5 corners occurred 4 times for Lausanne and 2 times for Lugano. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.57, under 9.5 at 2.22. Lausanne is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.69. Considering the average total corners (10.2) and Lausanne's frequent over 9.5 occurrences, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual stats can also be considered: Lausanne consistently delivers more than 6 corners per match, which may impact the overall total. Lugano tends to deliver fewer, but matches between these teams usually have plenty of corners. Overall, an active game is expected in terms of corners, especially from Lausanne.