Prediction for match Lausanne — Luzern, 21.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Swiss Super League match between Lausanne and Luzern on December 21, 2025, the bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: Lausanne's victory is priced at 2.08, Luzern's win is at 3.14, and a draw is at 3.72. In terms of probability percentages: Lausanne - 45.01%, draw - 25.17%, Luzern - 29.82%. Lausanne is considered the most likely winner, as confirmed by both the odds and probability distribution. These indicators set the general expectations for the match and establish the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Lausanne's average ball possession over the last five games is 44.4%, with the team recording 3 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Luzern has higher possession at 50%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Lausanne's last three matches were: December 18 - Lausanne vs Fiorentina 1-0, December 14 - Basel vs Lausanne 0-0, December 11 - KuPS vs Lausanne 0-0. Luzern's recent three games: December 17 - Luzern vs Basel 1-2, December 14 - Young Boys vs Luzern 2-0, December 6 - Thun vs Luzern 4-1. In their last head-to-head on October 19, 2025, Luzern and Lausanne drew 2-2.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring, Lausanne averages 0.8 goals per match over a five-game stretch, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.2. Luzern's figures are significantly higher: 3.6 goals on average per game, scoring 1, conceding 2.6. For over 2.5 goals, Lausanne has only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Luzern has 4 out of 5 over. In the first half, Lausanne has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Luzern - 3 out of 5. In the second half, Lausanne has no overs, Luzern - 4 out of 5. Goal intervals: Lausanne most often scores in the first 30 minutes and immediately after the break (33% each), conceding exclusively between 61-75 minutes (100%). Luzern frequently scores at the end of the first half and the beginning of the second (30% each), conceding most often also between 61-75 minutes (44%). Overall, with Lausanne's low scoring and Luzern's high, along with Lausanne's consistent unders, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.39 seems justified.

Analysis of Total Corners

For corners, Lausanne averages 4.2 over 5 matches, Luzern - 6.4. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners for both teams is 4 out of 5. Among available lines, the closest to the average sum of corners is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.57, under 9.5 is at 2.16. Lausanne is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.82. Considering the high average figures for both teams and the frequency of this line being exceeded in recent matches, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners.