Prediction for match Lazio — Atalanta, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Serie A on 14.02.2026, Lazio will face Atalanta. The odds for an Atalanta win are 2.25, a draw is 3.42, and a Lazio win is 3.58. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atalanta is rated at 43.74%, a draw at 28.77%, and Lazio at 27.49%. These figures make Atalanta the favorite, though the difference between the teams is not significant, which could add unpredictability to the final result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lazio performed as follows: 11.02.2026 Bologna - Lazio 2-5, 08.02.2026 Juventus - Lazio 2-2, 30.01.2026 Lazio - Genoa 3-2. Atalanta's last three results were: 09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2-1, 05.02.2026 Atalanta - Juventus 3-0, 01.02.2026 Como - Atalanta 0-0. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Atalanta and Lazio played out a 0-0 draw. Over a five-match span, Lazio averages 2.2 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and gets caught offside 1 time per game with 47.6% possession. Atalanta averages 1.6 yellows, 11.6 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 46.6% possession.

How Many Goals in Lazio vs Atalanta Match

In a five-match series, Lazio's average total goals are 2.8, and Atalanta's is 2.2. Both teams have gone over 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Lazio scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.6, while Atalanta scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.4 per game. By halves, Lazio has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, while Atalanta has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in both halves. Lazio most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and Atalanta in the closing stages (76-90 minutes, 36%). Lazio concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (33%), and Atalanta concedes exclusively in the closing stages (76-90 minutes, 100%). Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 totals, and both teams' attacking metrics, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.54 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Lazio earns 2.4 corners, and Atalanta 5.4 per match. Over a five-match span, Lazio has not hit the over 9.5 total, while Atalanta has done so in 2 out of 5. For a total of 8.5, there are both options: over 8.5 is at 1.72, under 8.5 at 2.00. Atalanta is favored to win the corner count with odds of 2.09. Together, the teams average 7.8 corners per game, making a bet on over 8.5 logical, considering Atalanta's attacking style and possible Lazio activity playing on the counter. A bet on Atalanta to win the corner count is also worth considering.