Prediction for match Lazio — Inter

Match Analysis: Lazio vs Inter

On May 9th in Serie A, Lazio will face Inter. According to bookmakers, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.86 for a win, 3.82 for a draw, and 4.61 for a Lazio victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lazio's success is estimated at 21.34%, a draw at 25.76%, and Inter's win at 52.90%. These figures highlight Inter's clear advantage in the pre-match setup. The attention to this match is not only due to the status of the teams but also because of the high scoring in recent encounters by both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lazio recorded these results: May 4th, Cremonese 1-2 Lazio, April 27th, Lazio 3-3 Udinese, April 22nd, Atalanta 2-3 Lazio. During the same period, Inter played as follows: May 3rd, Inter 2-0 Parma, April 26th, Torino 2-2 Inter, April 21st, Inter 3-2 Como. On average, over the last five games, Lazio had 47.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside per match. Inter appears stronger in these metrics: 56% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their head-to-head on November 9, 2025, Inter defeated Lazio 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a high level of scoring: Lazio's average total goals per match in the last five games is 2.8, while Inter's is 4.2. Lazio scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2 per game, Inter scores 2.8 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 total goals, Lazio achieved this in 2 of 5, and Inter in 4 of 5. In terms of halves, Lazio has only 1 of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half but 3 of 5 in the second. Inter shows a similar pattern: 1 of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 4 of 5 in the second. Both teams most frequently score in the 76-90 minute interval: Lazio at 50%, Inter at 46%. Lazio most often concedes in the same interval (44%), while Inter concedes most between 46-60 minutes (38%). All this suggests a high probability of a goal-rich match, especially in the second half. Considering both teams' scoring statistics and over totals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Lazio earns 3.8 corners per match, Inter 5.4, totaling 9.2. In a series of five games, Lazio has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5, Inter in 4 out of 5. Among available corner totals, 9.5 is closest to the average sum: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.12, under 9.5 at 1.64. In terms of corner outcomes, Inter is favored with odds of 1.52. An active wing play and a large number of set pieces are expected, especially from Inter, which consistently delivers more than 5 corners per match. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams' attacking styles and the frequency of this total in their recent matches.