Prediction for match Lazio — Parma

Match Analysis: Lazio vs Parma

On April 4, 2026, Lazio will face Parma in Serie A. Lazio is considered the favorite with odds of 1.88 for their victory, a draw at 3.56, and a Parma win at 4.91. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcome are: Lazio - 52.33%, draw - 27.63%, Parma - 20.04%. This reflects Lazio's advantage according to bookmakers, but a draw cannot be ruled out, given the nearly one-third probability for this outcome. The match promises to be intense, considering the history of encounters and the current form of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lazio has shown consistent results: on March 22, Lazio defeated Bologna 2-0, on March 15, they had a narrow win over Milan 1-0, and on March 9, Lazio beat Sassuolo 2-1. Before that, on March 4, they drew with Atalanta 2-2, and on March 1, Lazio lost to Torino 0-2. Parma started their five-match series with a victory over Milan 1-0 (February 22), followed by draws with Cagliari 1-1 (February 27) and Fiorentina 0-0 (March 8), then suffered defeats to Torino 1-4 (March 13) and Cremonese 0-2 (March 21). On average over 5 games, Lazio has 48.4% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 6.4 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides. Parma has 47% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head match on December 13, 2025, Parma lost to Lazio 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Lazio vs Parma Match

In the last five matches, Lazio has an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Parma has 2. Lazio scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1, while Parma scores 0.6 and concedes 1.4. For 5 encounters, Lazio had over 2.5 goals twice, under 3 times, while Parma had over 2.5 goals only once and under 4 times. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams, in the second half, twice for Lazio and three times for Parma. Lazio most frequently scores between the 46-60 minutes (38%) and concedes in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 40%). Parma scores 40% of their goals between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes, with most goals conceded between 61-75 minutes (40%). Given Parma's low scoring and Lazio's not-so-high average, it's logical to consider under 2.5 goals, which is at odds of 1.69. This option is supported by the frequencies of under 2.5 goals for both teams and their average scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, Lazio takes 2.6 corners, Parma 3.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred twice for Lazio and never for Parma. Looking at totals with a pair of outcomes, the closest to the average corners sum (6.4) is a total of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.64, under 8.5 at 2.12. For corner outcomes, Lazio is the favorite with odds of 1.49. Overall, both teams do not show high activity in corners, and a bet on under 8.5 corners seems logical given the statistics from recent matches.