Prediction for match Le Havre — Amiens

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Coupe de France on December 21, Le Havre faces Amiens. According to the 1X2 odds, Le Havre is at 1.35, a draw is at 4.55, and Amiens' victory is at 8.80. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Le Havre 68.96%, draw 20.46%, Amiens 10.58%. There's a clear bias towards Le Havre in terms of probability, but the odds for their win are too low for the main forecast. The most interesting lines for totals and both teams to score offer more balanced betting options.

Team Results and Statistics

Le Havre maintains 45.8% possession over a five-match span, averages 1.8 cautions, 13 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Amiens slightly lags in possession with 42.6%, but receives 2.8 yellow cards, records 13 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In Le Havre's last three matches: December 14 Lyon - Le Havre 1-0, December 7 Le Havre - Paris FC 0-0, November 30 Le Havre - Lille 0-1. For Amiens: December 12 Pau - Amiens 1-2, December 5 Le Mans - Amiens 1-0, November 22 Amiens - Guingamp 1-2. Their last head-to-head was on January 28, 2023: Amiens - Le Havre 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Le Havre's average total goals is 1.4, scoring an average of 0.2 and conceding 1.2. Amiens has a significantly higher average total goals of 3, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. For over 2.5 goals in 5 matches: Le Havre went over only once, while Amiens went over 4 times. By halves: Le Havre never had more than 1.5 goals in the first half, and only once in the second half out of 5. Amiens went over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. By goal intervals: Le Havre most often scores between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes evenly in three intervals - 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Amiens most often scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each) and concedes between 16-30 and 76-90 (33% each). Considering Amiens' high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goal matches, along with both teams' not-so-reliable defenses, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Le Havre averages 5.8 corners per match, Amiens 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Le Havre went over 2 times out of 5, Amiens 4 times out of 5. Among corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning corners regularly, especially Amiens. Considering the frequency of overs and the average figures of both teams, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners.