Prediction for match Le Havre — Lille, 30.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

On November 30th, in Ligue 1, Le Havre will face Lille. According to the odds, Lille is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.90 with a probability of 51.80%. A draw is set at 3.76 (26.18%), while a win for Le Havre is valued at 4.47, which corresponds to a probability of 22.02%. The percentages clearly show Lille's significant advantage, as they have been consistently earning points in recent matches. However, a draw cannot be ruled out, considering the probability exceeds 26%.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Le Havre had an average possession of 49.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Lille appears more active with 57.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Recent matches for Le Havre: 22.11.2025 PSG - Le Havre 3-0, 08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1-1, 02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0-0. For Lille: 27.11.2025 Lille - Dinamo Zagreb 4-0, 23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4-2, 09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 08.02.2025, Lille - Le Havre 1-2, the total over 2.5 was achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Le Havre only surpassed the total over 2.5 once, with four matches ending under. Lille played over 2.5 in two out of five, and under in three. By halves, Le Havre didn’t surpass the total over 1.5 in the first half, and only once in the second half. Lille had the total over 1.5 twice in the first half and twice in the second. The average goals per match for Le Havre is 1.4, and for Lille, it’s 2.8. Goals scored: Le Havre 0.6, Lille 1.8; goals conceded - 0.8 and 1 respectively. Le Havre scores most frequently between the 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while Lille scores in the final minutes (76-90, 42%). Le Havre concedes half of their goals in the first 15 minutes and between 46-60 minutes, while Lille concedes in the opening 15 minutes and at the end. Considering the difference in attacking potential and average scoring, a bet on the total over 2.5 at 1.98 seems justified: Lille consistently has a high scoring rate, and both teams see frequent goals late in the game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last 5 matches, Le Havre averaged 4.8 corners, Lille - 6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Le Havre achieved it 4 out of 5 times, Lille 2 out of 5. The line set for corner totals is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 2.05, under at 1.72. Lille is favored in corners with odds of 1.58. Both teams collectively create conditions for an over on corner totals, especially considering Le Havre's four out of five overs on 9.5. A logical choice would be to bet on the total corners over 9.5 or Lille to win in this aspect.