Prediction for match Le Havre — Nantes, 08.11.2025

Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Nantes

In the Ligue 1 match on November 8, Le Havre will face Nantes. Bookmakers have set the following odds for this encounter: a win for Le Havre is at 2.05, a draw is priced at 3.20, and a win for Nantes is offered at 3.90. According to probability estimates, Le Havre has a 46.16% chance of winning, a draw is at 29.57%, and Nantes has a 24.26% chance. Therefore, Le Havre is clearly seen as the main contender for success in this match, but a draw is also considered quite likely. Overall, the distribution of chances reflects the current form of the teams and their average performance in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Le Havre has an average possession of 43.8% over their last 5 matches, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Nantes has similar stats: 43.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside. Le Havre's last three matches: November 2, Toulouse vs Le Havre 0-0, October 29, Le Havre vs Brest 1-0, October 26, Auxerre vs Le Havre 0-1. Nantes' recent matches: November 2, Nantes vs Metz 0-2, October 29, Nantes vs Monaco 3-5, October 24, Paris FC vs Nantes 1-2. Their head-to-head on March 30, 2025, ended with Le Havre 3-2 Nantes, with over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches for both teams, the "over 2.5 goals" occurred 2 out of 5 times, and "under 2.5 goals" happened 3 out of 5 times. During this period, the average total goals for Le Havre is 2.8, and for Nantes, it's 3. Le Havre scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.6; Nantes scores 1 and concedes 2. For the first half, Le Havre had over 1.5 goals twice in 5 matches, and in the second half just once. Nantes had over 1.5 goals in both halves 2 out of 5 times. Le Havre often scores between 76-90 minutes (44%), while Nantes distributes their goals evenly between 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Le Havre is vulnerable between 16-30 minutes (40% of goals conceded), while Nantes tends to concede towards the end of the match, 76-90 minutes (36%). Considering the average scoring rate, the occurrence of over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches for each team, and the trend of goals in the second half, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems most justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Le Havre averages 3.2 in their last five matches, while Nantes averages 3.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Le Havre is 2 out of 5, and for Nantes, it's 4 out of 5. The betting line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. Le Havre is favored for corners with odds of 1.57. Given that both teams rarely exceed 9.5 corners, it makes more sense to consider the option of under 9.5 corners at 1.67.