Prediction for match Le Havre — PSG

Match Analysis: Le Havre vs PSG

In Ligue 1 on February 28, Le Havre faces PSG. The odds clearly favor PSG: a win for them is priced at 1.32 with a 74.54% probability. A draw is at 6.15 (16.00%), while a victory for Le Havre is at 10.40 (9.46%). This is further supported by the percentage distribution, with PSG leading in all key areas. The over 2.75 goals market is at 1.51, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game, while both teams to score: yes is at 1.79, no at 1.94. Individual total markets also highlight PSG's advantage, with odds of 1.50 for them to score more than 2 goals. Overall, the line predicts PSG dominance and a high likelihood of goals mainly from their side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Le Havre averages 49.4% ball possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides per game. PSG significantly outperforms in ball control with 69%, receiving only 0.6 yellow cards, committing 8.2 fouls, and having 2.2 offsides per match. Recent matches for Le Havre: 22.02.2026 Nantes - Le Havre 2-0, 15.02.2026 Le Havre - Toulouse 2-1, 08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2-1. For PSG: 25.02.2026 PSG - Monaco 2-2, 21.02.2026 PSG - Metz 3-0, 17.02.2026 Monaco - PSG 2-3. The last head-to-head was on 22.11.2025: PSG - Le Havre 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PSG shows a strong over-profile: in the last five matches, they have consistently exceeded the 2.5 total (5 out of 5), with an average scoring rate of 4.2 goals per game. Le Havre is more modest in this regard, averaging 1.8 goals, with only 2 out of their last 5 games going over 2.5. PSG also leads in individual scoring: 2.8 goals per match compared to Le Havre's 0.8. By halves, PSG has 3 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves, while Le Havre has 3 out of 5 with more than 1.5 in the first half but none in the second. Le Havre most frequently scores between the 31-45 minute mark (43%), while PSG scores most often between the 61-75 minute mark (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Le Havre is most vulnerable at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 100%), while PSG concedes more in three different periods: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (29% each). All this points to PSG's clear advantage in attack and a high likelihood of a high-scoring match. The main prediction is over 2.75 goals at 1.51.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Le Havre averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, while PSG averages 6.6. In a series of five games, Le Havre recorded over 9.5 corners 4 times, PSG 2 times. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is at 3.20, under 11.5 at 1.26. For the corner outcome, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.24. Given the high activity of both teams in corner kicks, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 or 10.5 corners, as well as PSG's advantage in the number of corners. In Le Havre's last five matches, over 9.5 corners were recorded 4 times, confirming the trend towards a high number of corner kicks.