Prediction for match Le Mans — Guingamp

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In France's Ligue 2, Le Mans faces Guingamp on 23.02.2026. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Le Mans win is at 2.44, a draw is priced at 3.15, and a Guingamp victory is offered at 2.94. In terms of probability, Le Mans has 38.39%, a draw - 29.74%, and Guingamp - 31.86%. Bookmakers don't see a clear favorite, but Le Mans has a slight edge in probability. Total goals options: Over 2.5 is at 2.11, Under 2.5 at 1.70, both teams to score: yes - 1.81, no - 1.90. Double chance for a draw or Guingamp win is at 1.52. For individual totals: Le Mans over 1 goal is at 1.58, Guingamp over 1 goal at 1.76. For halves: total in the second half over 1.5 is at 2.27, under 1.5 at 1.59. These odds reflect the expectation of a fairly even and not too high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

Le Mans averages 47.8% ball possession over the last 5 matches, with 3.4 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Guingamp holds the ball on average for 54.2% of the time, receives 2.4 yellow cards per game, commits 13 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Le Mans played as follows: 14.02.2026 Montpellier vs Le Mans 4-2, 07.02.2026 Le Mans vs Laval 1-1, 03.02.2026 Reims vs Le Mans 3-0. Guingamp in their last three encounters: 14.02.2026 Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne 1-2, 06.02.2026 Dunkerque vs Guingamp 0-0, 30.01.2026 Montpellier vs Guingamp 3-1. The last head-to-head match was on 09.08.2025: Guingamp vs Le Mans 3-3. These results show that both teams can score and concede, and matches between them tend to be eventful.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match period, Le Mans shows an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Guingamp's average total is 2.2, with 1.2 scored and 1 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Le Mans has 2 out of 5, Guingamp 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams have 2 out of 5, for over 1.5 in the second half, Le Mans recorded 3 out of 5, Guingamp 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: Le Mans most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), Guingamp between 31-45 minutes (40%). Le Mans most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (40%), Guingamp in two intervals: 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). These figures suggest that both teams can score, but there's no indication of high-scoring games. The under 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems a logical choice, given that both teams' average total goals don't exceed 2.8, and over 2.5 is not predominant.

Corner Bets

Le Mans averages 4.8 corners per match, Guingamp 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Le Mans has 2 out of 5, Guingamp 0 out of 5. Among the totals with odds closest to the average sum of corners (8.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is at 1.64, under 8.5 at 2.10. Outcome for corners: Le Mans win is at 1.88. Statistically, neither team stands out in terms of high corner counts, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering the average figures and frequencies for Le Mans.