Prediction for match Le Mans — Pau

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 2, Le Mans will face Pau on April 6. According to the main odds: a Le Mans victory is priced at 1.94, a draw is offered at 3.58, and a win for Pau is valued at 3.67. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Le Mans - 48.30%, draw - 26.17%, Pau - 25.53%. Le Mans appears more likely to win, but a draw is also a considerable possibility given the percentage distribution. Pau's chances of winning are rated lower, as reflected in both the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Le Mans has shown excellent form: they defeated Amiens 4-3 on March 20, beat Nancy 4-2 on March 13, and comfortably won against Annecy 3-0 on March 7. During the same period, Pau drew 0-0 with Montpellier on March 20, won 1-0 against Clermont Foot on March 13, and shared points with Bastia in a 2-2 draw on March 6. In their head-to-head encounters, the last match was on November 21, 2025, with Pau losing 1-2 to Le Mans. Looking at additional stats: Le Mans has an average ball possession of 50.4% over five matches, with 3 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Pau has 47.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1 offside. These figures show that Le Mans plays more aggressively and commits more fouls, while Pau plays more cautiously.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Le Mans has been highly productive in their last five matches, with an average total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2. Pau's matches average 3 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. Regarding matches with over 2.5 goals: both teams have seen 3 out of their last 5 games ending with more than 2.5 goals. By halves, Le Mans had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in three of five matches, and Pau also had the same in 3 of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded more than 1.5 goals twice in five matches. By intervals: Le Mans most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (44%), while Pau scores most often between 31-45 minutes (57%). Le Mans most commonly concedes between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Pau spreads their conceded goals across several intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each). Overall, both teams are inclined towards high-scoring games, especially in the first half, and Le Mans consistently scores more than two goals per game. This makes a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Le Mans earns 5.4 corners over five matches, while Pau gets 3. In the last five encounters, Le Mans exceeded the total corners of 9.5 three times, while Pau did not. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.4) is 8.5: the over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.57, and under 8.5 at 2.16. For the outcome on corners, Le Mans is favored with odds of 1.61. Based on these data, we can expect Le Mans to be more active in taking corners, and the total corners have a good chance of exceeding 8.5. It's also worth noting that Le Mans often plays through the wings and earns more set pieces than Pau.