Prediction for match Le Mans — Saint Etienne, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The match between Le Mans and Saint Etienne in France's Ligue 2 is scheduled for January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Saint Etienne is priced at 2.41, a victory for Le Mans at 2.79, and a draw at 3.34. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Le Mans 33.41%, draw 27.91%, Saint Etienne 38.68%. Saint Etienne has the highest percentage, but the gap with Le Mans is not critical, indicating a fairly competitive match. Additionally, the line for over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.88, making this an interesting option for betting on a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of additional metrics over a five-match series, Le Mans maintains 47.4% possession, records 2.4 warnings, commits 17.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Saint Etienne significantly excels in ball control with 63.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Le Mans defeated Annecy 2-1 (12.12.2025), won against Amiens 1-0 (05.12.2025), and beat Pau 2-1 (21.11.2025). Saint Etienne lost to Nice 1-2 (21.12.2025), drew with Bastia 2-2 (13.12.2025), and lost to Dunkerque 0-1 (06.12.2025). In their head-to-head meeting on October 18, 2025, Le Mans defeated Saint Etienne 3-2.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over a series of five matches, Le Mans shows an average total of 1.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.4 per game. Saint Etienne plays noticeably more productively: an average total of 3.2, scoring 1.6 and conceding the same. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Le Mans has 2 out of 5, Saint Etienne 4 out of 5. By halves, Le Mans has only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Saint Etienne has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in each half. In terms of goal intervals, Le Mans most frequently scores in four different segments (0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75) at 25% each, while Saint Etienne is most productive towards the end: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (30% each). Le Mans most often concedes between 16-30 minutes (50%), Saint Etienne in the 31-45 minute segment (57%). Considering Saint Etienne's high scoring rate, their frequent over 2.5 goals, and the general tendency for goals in the second half, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Le Mans over 5 matches is 5, while for Saint Etienne it's 2.4. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Le Mans has 3 out of 5 games, Saint Etienne none. The line offers a total of 7 corners, which is closest to the sum of the averages (5 + 2.4 = 7.4). Over 7 corners is at 1.80, under 7 at 1.91. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 7 corners, given Le Mans' activity in delivering from the corner flag. Saint Etienne significantly lags in this component, which could affect the distribution of corners in the match.