Prediction for match Lecce — Cremonese

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on March 8th, Lecce will face Cremonese. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a Lecce win is at 2.24, a draw is at 2.98, and a Cremonese win is at 4.30. The probabilities for these outcomes are distributed as follows: Lecce - 44%, draw - 33.08%, Cremonese - 22.92%. The most likely outcome is considered to be a Lecce victory, although the difference between the teams in the odds is not very large. A draw is also highly rated, which is reflected in the probability percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lecce played as follows: on 28.02.2026, Como beat Lecce 3-1, on 21.02.2026, Lecce lost to Inter 0-2, and on 16.02.2026, Lecce defeated Cagliari 0-2. Cremonese's last three results were: on 01.03.2026, Cremonese lost to Milan 0-2, on 22.02.2026, Roma defeated Cremonese 3-0, and on 15.02.2026, Cremonese drew with Genoa 0-0. In their head-to-head match on 07.12.2025, Cremonese beat Lecce 2-0. Over the last five matches, Lecce averages 43% possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides. Cremonese shows 39.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five games, Lecce has an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Cremonese averages 2. Lecce scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, whereas Cremonese scores only 0.2 and concedes 1.8. For over/under 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches end with over 2.5 goals, and 3 out of 5 with under. By halves: for over 1.5 goals in the first half, both Lecce and Cremonese had 2 out of 5, and similarly in the second half. Goal intervals: Lecce most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (33% each), while Cremonese tends to score late, between the 76th-90th minute (40%). Lecce most often concedes between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while Cremonese concedes most in the 76th-90th minute (60%). Given Cremonese's extremely low scoring rate (0.2 goals per game) and Lecce's average scoring, as well as frequent under 2.5 totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.25 goals at 1.58.

Corners in the Match

Over five matches, Lecce averages 4 corners, and Cremonese averages 3.2. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Lecce had 3 out of 5 games, and Cremonese had 4 out of 5. The total corners line closest to the average values is 7.2-7.5, but the odds offer a pair for a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.87, and under 9.5 is also at 1.87. Lecce is considered the favorite for corners with odds of 1.50. Considering the average activity of both teams in delivering corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, and a Lecce win on corners can also be considered.