Prediction for match Lecce — Inter, 21.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter is scheduled for 21.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.51, which corresponds to a 64.92% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 4.42 (22.18%), while a victory for Lecce is at 7.60 (12.90%). These odds reflect a significant difference in the attacking and defensive potential of the teams, as well as their standings in the current season. Inter approaches the match with a noticeable advantage in all key parameters, as confirmed by the probability percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Lecce shows average ball possession of 44.4%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Inter looks more confident in these metrics: 62.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Lecce recorded: 16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0-2, 08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2-1, 01.02.2026 Torino - Lecce 1-0. For Inter: 18.02.2026 Bodo/Glimt - Inter 3-1, 14.02.2026 Inter - Juventus 3-2, 08.02.2026 Sassuolo - Inter 0-5. The last head-to-head meeting was on 14.01.2026: Inter - Lecce 1-0.

Teams' Scoring Runs

In their last five games, Lecce has an average total goals per match of 1.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. Inter's figures are significantly higher: 3.8 average goals, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.2. Lecce has surpassed the 2.5 goals mark only once in 5 matches, while Inter has done so in 4 out of 5. For half-time goals, Lecce managed over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 first and second halves, whereas Inter achieved this in 4 out of 5 halves. Lecce most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), and concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Inter's goals are distributed in the intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), with most goals conceded between 16-30 (36%). Considering Inter's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, and consistent half-time performances, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.13 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lecce averages 4.6 corners per match, while Inter averages 4.2. For over 9.5 corners, Lecce has surpassed this in 3 out of 5 matches, and Inter in 1 out of 5. The closest total to the average sum (8.8) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.49, under 8.5 at 2.44. In the corner outcome, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.26. Considering the balance of averages and frequencies, it's logical to consider over 8.5 corners, as well as noting Inter's advantage in corner outcomes.